Weak Demand for U.S. 20-year Treasury Bond Auction with High Yield of 3.38% with 2.5 bps Tail

U.S. Treasuries were in the red in response to the completion of the $14 billion 20-year Treasury bond reopening, which was met with lukewarm domestic demand. The high yield tailed the when-issued yield by 2.5 bps with the bid-to-cover ratio well above average. The weak auction helped drive the 30-yr bond back to its low. The desk gave an C rating on the auction. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 are in the upper range for the week ahead of FOMC Minutes.

Today’s $15 bln 20-yr bond -2.5 basis point indicative of strong international demand. The desk gave an A rating on the auction.

  • The domestic demand was below its six-month average indicative of softer domestic demand
  • International demand (indirect) was also comfortably above the six-month average
  • Primary dealers were left with just over than 10% versus normal around 14.3%

Auction Highlights

  • Duration: 20 Years
  • Amount:  $15 billion
  • High yield 3.380%
  • WI level 3.355%
  • Tail -2.5 basis points. The 6-month averages -0.6 basis points
  • Bid to cover 2.30X vs. six-month average of 2.64X
  • Dealers 14.7% vs. six-month average of 12.4%
  • Directs 18.3% vs. six-month average of 18.0%
  • Indirects 67% vs. six-month average of 67.8%

Auction grade: C

Yields after the auction

  • 2-yr: +3 bps to 3.27%
  • 3-yr: +8 bps to 3.28%
  • 5-yr: +9 bps to 3.05%
  • 10-yr: +7 bps to 2.89%
  • 30-yr: +3 bps to 3.15%

Prior auction results:

  • High yield: 3.42%
  • Bid-to-cover: 2.65
  • Indirect bid: 78%
  • Direct bid: 14.1%

Average results of previous 12 auctions:

  • High yield: 2.462%
  • Bid-to-cover: 2.48
  • Indirect bid: 66.5%
  • Direct bid: 18.0%

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