Underwhelming 7-year Treasury Bond Auction Completes Week’s Offerings With Higher Yields

U.S. Treasuries completed this week’s note auctions with an underwhelming $35 bln 7-yr note sale. Treasuries trade at lows, the 10-yr yield is now just ten basis points below its high from July 7 (4.094%), the 5-yr yield remains 27 bps below its high from the first week of July. The sale drew a high yield of 4.087%, which tailed the when-issued yield by 1.3 bps while the bid-to-cover ratio (2.48x) was below the 12-auction average. Indirect takedown (69.8%), however, was a touch better than average. The desk gave an D rating on the auction. Equities sold off after the bond auction.

Tuesday treasuries completed a $43 bln 5-yr note auction which met tepid demand. Monday, we saw a $42 bln 2-yr note A- rated auction.

  • The domestic demand was below its 12-month average indicative of weaker domestic demand
  • International demand (indirect) was above the 12-month average.
  • Primary dealers were left with 14.3% versus normal around 12.6%
  • The desk gave an D rating on the auction.

Auction Highlights

  • Duration: 7 Years
  • Amount: $35 billion
  • High-yield 4.087%
  • WI level at the time of the auction 4.074%
  • Tail 1.3 basis points vs six-month average of +0.9 basis points
  • Bid to cover 2.48X v 12-month average of 2.51X
  • Directs 15.9% v 12-month average of 19.0%
  • Indirect 69.8% v 12-month average of over 68.3%
  • Dealers 14.3% v 12-month average of 12.6%

Auction grade: D

Yields after the auction.

  • 2-yr: +11 bps to 4.94%
  • 3-yr: +11 bps to 4.57%
  • 5-yr: +15 bps to 4.23%
  • 10-yr: +14 bps to 3.99%
  • 30-yr: +10 bps to 4.03%

Yields before the auction.

  • 2-yr: +9 bps to 4.92%
  • 3-yr: +10 bps to 4.56%
  • 5-yr: +10 bps to 4.18%
  • 10-yr: +8 bps to 3.93%
  • 30-yr: +5 bps to 3.98%

Prior auction results:

  • High yield: 3.839%
  • Bid-to-cover: 2.65
  • Indirect bid: 75.3%
  • Direct bid: 16.6%

Average results of previous 12 auctions:

  • High yield: 3.669%
  • Bid-to-cover: 2.52
  • Indirect bid: 68.3%
  • Direct bid: 19.0%

Live From the Pit

From The TradersCommunity US News Desk

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