U.S. 20-year Treasury Bond Auction with High Yield of 3.488% on Lukewarm Demand

U.S. Treasuries held just below their best levels of the session in response to the recent completion of the $14 billion 20-year Treasury bond reopening, which was met with lukewarm demand. The 3- and 5-year notes trading slightly ahead of other tenors. The high yield tailed the when-issued yield by 0.2 bps with the bid-to-cover ratio and indirect takedown just above average. The desk gave a C rating on the auction. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 are just below its best level of the day.

Today’s $14 bln 20-yr bond -0.2 basis point indicative of lukewarm demand. The desk gave a C rating on the auction.

  • The domestic demand was below its six-month average indicative of softer domestic demand
  • International demand (indirect) was also comfortably above the six-month average
  • Primary dealers were left with just over than 10% versus normal around 14.3%

Auction Highlights

  • Duration: 20 Years
  • Amount:  $14 billion
  • High yield 3.488%
  • Tail +0.2 basis points. The 6-month averages -0.6 basis points
  • Bid to cover 2.60X vs. six-month average of 2.55X
  • Dealers 12.4% vs. six-month average of 13.0%
  • Directs 20.2% vs. six-month average of 18.7% six-month average
  • Indirects 67.4% vs. six-month average of 68.3%

Auction grade: C

Yields after the auction

  • 2-yr: -14 bps to 3.08%
  • 3-yr: -16 bps to 3.20%
  • 5-yr: -16 bps to 3.22%
  • 10-yr: -16 bps to 3.15%
  • 30-yr: -15 bps to 3.24%

Prior auction results:

  • High yield: 3.290%
  • Bid-to-cover: 2.50
  • Indirect bid: 70.6%
  • Direct bid: 16.4%

Average results of previous 12 auctions: High yield: 2.005%

  • High yield: 2.253%
  • Bid-to-cover: 2.43
  • Indirect bid: 64.2%
  • Direct bid: 18.5%

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