U.S. 10-year Treasury Bond Auction Sees Strong Demand After CPI with 2.53 Bid to Cover 

The US Treasury 10-Year Bond Sale performed better than expected after a lighter than expected CPI number released early in the day. The auction garnered an A rating across the Fixed Interest desk with weak demand from the international market. The tail was -0.6 basis points with When-Issued 2.761% at time of the auction 3.018% and the high yield of 2.755% at the auction. The post-auction selling was heaviest in the long bond as shorter tenors remain near their best levels of the day.

The bid-to-cover ratio of 2.53X vs. six-month average of 2.50X, indirect takedown 74.5% vs. six-month average of 69.1%. The desk gave a D- rating on the auction.

Auction Highlights

  • Duration: 10 Years
  • Amount:  $35 billion
  • High yield:  2.755% (When-Issued: 2.761%)
  • WI level at the time of the auction 2.761%
  • Tail 0.6 basis points vs. six-month average of 0.5 basis points
  • bid to cover 2.53X vs. six-month average of 2.50X
  • Directs 15.6% vs. six-month average of 17.3%
  • Indirects 74.5% vs. six-month average of 69.1%
  • dealers take 7.90% vs. six-month average of 13.5%

Auction grade: A

Yields after the auction

  • 2-yr: +4 bps to 2.76%
  • 3-yr: +4 bps to 2.95%
  • 5-yr: +5 bps to 3.03%
  • 10-yr: +6 bps to 3.03%
  • 30-yr: +6 bps to 3.18%

Average results of previous 12 auctions: High yield: 2.035%

  • High yield: 1.775%
  • Bid-to-cover: 2.51
  • Indirect bid: 69.5%
  • Direct bid: 16.8

Prior auction results:

  • High yield: 2.960%
  • Bid-to-cover: 2.34
  • Indirect bid: 61.3%
  • Direct bid: 18.0%

Average results of previous 12 auctions

  • High yield: 2.035%
  • Bid-to-cover: 2.49
  • Indirect bid: 69.2%
  • Direct bid: 16.9%
  • Directs a measure of domestic demand
  • Indirects a measure of international demand
  • Dealers take the balance

Live From the Pit

From The TradersCommunity US News Desk