Tepid Demand at U.S. 20-year Treasury Bond Auction Follows Last Week’s Series

U.S. Treasuries longer tenors continued to fresh lows, reaching their worst levels shortly after today’s $15 bln 20-yr bond sale, which met tepid demand. Today’s sell off lifted the 5-yr yield to its highest level since early November while the 10-yr yield finished at a six-week high. The market is positioning for tomorrow’s PPI report for January. The completion of today’s $12 bln 20-yr Treasury bond reopening, followed the path of last week’s 3- and 30-year auctions meeting tepid demand.  The desk gave a C+ rating on the auction.

Today’s $15 bln 20-yr bond 0.2 basis point tailh indicative of tepid international demand. The desk gave a C+ rating on the auction.

  • The domestic demand was above its six-month average indicative of normal domestic demand
  • International demand (indirect) was comfortably above the six-month average
  • Primary dealers were left with just over 6.73% versus normal around 10.9%

Auction Highlights

  • Duration: 20 Years
  • Amount:  $15 billion
  • High yield 3.977%
  • WI 3.975%
  • Tail +0.2 basis points versus six-month average of -0.6 basis points
  • Directs 17.97% versus six-month average of 17.5%
  • Indirects 75.3% versus six-month average of 71.7%
  • Dealers 6.73% versus six-month average of 10.9%

Auction grade: C+

Yields after the auction.

  • 2-yr: -2 bps to 4.61%
  • 3-yr: +2 bps to 4.35%
  • 5-yr: +3 bps to 4.03%
  • 10-yr: +4 bps to 3.80%
  • 30-yr: +5 bps to 3.85%

Prior auction results:

  • High yield: 3.935% 
  • Bid-to-cover: 2.68
  • Indirect bid: 72.3%
  • Direct bid: 19.0%

Average results of previous 12 auctions:

  • High yield: 3.432%
  • Bid-to-cover: 2.59
  • Indirect bid: 70.9%
  • Direct bid: 17.4%

Auction Measure Definitions

  • Directs a measure of domestic demand
  • Indirects a measure of international demand
  • Dealers take the balance

Live From the Pit

From The TradersCommunity US News Desk