The explosion in commodity prices volatility has seen coal, oil and natural gas prices surge, the Nickel market halted for a week and grains prices hitting record highs. Unintended consequences and contagions flow through in heavily levered and multi-faceted financial markets. In the past week, the yield on Gunvor Group Ltd. bonds due in 2026 rose as high as 16.8%, Trafigura Group bonds due in 2025 rose to almost 10%. Credit default swaps on Louis Dreyfus Co. debt on Friday … Continue reading “Extreme Commodity Prices Volatility Pressures Commodity Trading Houses Bonds”
Futures and commodities had a volatile start to 2022. January was about the energy crisis and interest rates and inflation. This pattern accelerated after the Fed minutes of the December FOMC took hold. This was borne out by the best performing futures being natural gas, VIX and Palladium. Energy was five of the highest gains for the month. The worse were lumber, ethanol and the major stock market indices. For the month S&P and Nasdaq have their worst month since … Continue reading “The Energy Crisis and Volatility See Natural Gas and VIX the Best Performing Futures in January”
Agricultural and energy futures and commodities rose sharply pumped by the reopening of economies in 2021 with the Covid -19 knock ons running roughshod over supply routes and employment. The biggest losers were last year’s winners, safe haven elements such as the VIX, treasuries and foodstuffs. Oat Futures closed up 89.74% this year. back in October the United Nations index shows that global food prices recently hit a decade high, oat futures hit an all-time high of $6.36 a bushel … Continue reading “Oats, Coffee, Canola and Lumber Pip Energy as Best Performing Futures in 2022”
Futures and commodities contined to be volatile in October of 2021 as energy markets ran roughshod. The biggest gainers were safehaven elements such as precious metals silver, platinum and palladium along with foodstuffs such as grains. The weakest was VIX as you would expect with US stock indices at record highs
Australia’s agriculture industry will produce a record $73 billion worth of produce in 2021-22 up from $66.3 billion in 2020-21 the Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Sciences (ABARE) September crop report released Monday said
Three months can be an eternity and that is what it was for energy futures in particular. Futures and commodities were hit violently in the first quarter of 2020 with the black swan Covid -19 running roughshod. In Q2 bounces in equity and energy markets were spectacular.
The US consumer credit outstanding in February came in at +$22.33 billion much higher than the +$14.0 billion expected and from the +$12.02 billion last month. This was before the economic shutdown to the economy.
Futures and commodities were hit violently in the first quarter of 2020 with the black swan Covid -19 event running roughshod over energy markets in particular. The biggest gainers were safehaven elements such as the VIX, treasuries and foodstuffs.
Recent strength in precious metals and weather affected grains has seen commodities prices largely higher for the first half of 2019, the energy heavy GSCI is up 16.% on the year with the more balanced Bloomberg index up 5%.
In 2018 coomodity prices were hampered by the strong US dollar which rose from mid-April, a collapse in oil prices from early October and the ongoing U.S.-China trade war. The best performers were cocoa, wheat, oats and last years best palladium. The worst performers were Gasoline, WTI Crude, lumber and sugar.