U.S. Trade Deficit -$79.6 Billion, China Gap Rises to -$36.95 Billion

The US trade deficit in June was $79.6 billion (consensus $81.7 billion) from a revised deficit of $84.9 billion (from $85.5 billion) in May. The China and US trade deficit rose to -$36.95 billion vs. May deficit $-31.54 billion. Exports were up 3.5% to a record high of $260.8 billion, led by natural gas. Imports fell again to $340.41 billion vs. May $341.43 billion These monthly swings are also influenced by the supply crisis affecting orders and deliveries. Highlights International trade … Continue reading “U.S. Trade Deficit -$79.6 Billion, China Gap Rises to -$36.95 Billion”

Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Unchanged as Expected Raises Inflation Forecast

The Bank of Japan as widely expected kept unchanged its -0.1% target for short-term interest rates, and 0% for the 10-year government bond yield by a 8-1 vote. The BOJ raised its inflation forecast on Thursday but kept guidance on policy bias and says to take more easing steps without hesitation as needed with eye on pandemic’s impact on economy. The bank will remain an outlier among a global wave of central banks tightening monetary policy.  BoJ Chief Kuroda BOJ … Continue reading “Bank of Japan Monetary Policy Unchanged as Expected Raises Inflation Forecast”

Japanese Industrial Production Plummets to -7.2% m/m in May

Japan’s preliminary industrial production for May 2022 came in at -7.2% m/m much lower than the expected -0.3% m/m and the April reading of -1.5%. Two years ago, deep in the pandemic industrial production was -4.2% m/m. Production in the auto sector continues to suffer from a global parts supply crunch as output of cars and other motor vehicles suffer. Earlier today Toyota reported they missed its production targets for May with overall production levels through the first five months … Continue reading “Japanese Industrial Production Plummets to -7.2% m/m in May”

Japanese Consumers Spending at Steepest Pace Since May 2021

Japan’s retail sales rose for the third straight month in May 2022 and at the steepest pace since May 2021. The lift came from the strength in consumption as the government has lifted all COVID-19 restrictions. Japanese sales of general merchandise picked up sharply at 20.7% vs 8% in April with faster rises in sales of fabric apparel & accessories at 11.8% vs 9.7%. Meanwhile, sales of motor vehicles dropped for the ninth consecutive months -10.1% vs -7.5%.  Auto sales … Continue reading “Japanese Consumers Spending at Steepest Pace Since May 2021”

U.S. Trade Deficit Pulls Back from Record as Exports Rise Led by Natural Gas, Petroleum Products and Soybeans

The US trade deficit in April was $87.20 Billion down from prior month’s record $-107.7 billion. The China and US trade deficit fell to -$30.57 billion vs. $-34.00 billion last month. Exports were up 3.5% to a record high of $252.6 billion, led by natural gas. Imports collapsed to -3.4% from March rise +9.6%. These monthly swings are also influenced by the supply crisis affecting orders and deliveries. Highlights International trade balance $-87.2 billion vs. $-89.5 billion estimate. The prior … Continue reading “U.S. Trade Deficit Pulls Back from Record as Exports Rise Led by Natural Gas, Petroleum Products and Soybeans”

Kuroda at G7 Said Bank of Japan Will Continue with Powerful Easing with CPI Unsustainable

The Bank of Japan chief Kuroda speaking at the G7 said BOJ will patiently continue with powerful easing announcing no change to monetary policy. While the major central banks tighten other than the PBOC Japan has taken a different path. Earlier today Japanese CPI came in with 2.5% headline and 2.1% core prices.  BoJ Chief Kuroda Kuroda did acknowledge the latest CPI but also said that he’s forecast 2% inflation for a while and that it’s not sustainable in Japan … Continue reading “Kuroda at G7 Said Bank of Japan Will Continue with Powerful Easing with CPI Unsustainable”

U.S. Trade Deficit Soars 27% to Record $859 Billion in 2021 as Imports surge from Inflation and Tariffs.

The US trade deficit in December was $80.70 Billion up from prior month’s $79.30 billion. The China and US trade deficit rose to -$355.3 B for the year. The US trade gap for 2021 in both goods and services rose 27% to hit $859 billion, an annual record as imports grew faster than exports. Imports surged 20.5% with higher prices from inflation and tariffs. Highlights The US trade Deficit rose in both goods and services rose 27% to hit $859 … Continue reading “U.S. Trade Deficit Soars 27% to Record $859 Billion in 2021 as Imports surge from Inflation and Tariffs.”

Japanese Industrial Production Surges to Record High 7.2% m/m In November

Japan’s preliminary industrial production for November came in at 7.2% m/m much higher than the expected 4.8% m/m and the October reading of 1.8%. Two years ago, deep in the pandemic industrial production was -4.2% m/m. Production in the auto sector benefited from a global parts supply recovery, output of cars and other motor vehicles surged 43.1% for the month Japan Industrial Production for November 2021 (preliminary)  Industries that mainly contributed to the increased 1.Motor vehicles, 2.Plastic products, 3.Iron, steel … Continue reading “Japanese Industrial Production Surges to Record High 7.2% m/m In November”

Soft Consumer Spending Sees Japan’s Q3 GDP Downgraded Further

Japan’s economy shrank 0.9% in the third quarter from the previous quarter, at an annualized pace of 3.0%, the Cabinet Office announced on Monday. This was worse than the previous estimate as the Coronavirus and supply shortage had more of a dampening affect than first thought. Japan Q3 GDP (2nd reading) GDP -0.9% q/q vs -0.8% expected GDP y/y -3.6% vs -3.1% expected (first estimate -3.0%) Private consumption -1.3% vs -1.1% prelim External demand 0.0% vs +0.1% prelim Inflation deflator … Continue reading “Soft Consumer Spending Sees Japan’s Q3 GDP Downgraded Further”

Record Taiwan Chip Production To Continue, Expanding Over 25% in 2022

The global chip supply is expected to get some relief from Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co (TSMC) and the other Taiwanese Semiconductor manufacturers next year. A Taiwan government think tank forecasts output will grow 25.9% in 2021 to a 4.1 trillion New Taiwan dollars ($147 billion). Producers are struggling to keep up with the surging demand even as they invest in new capacity. A recent report published by Taiwan government think tank, The Industry, Science and Technology International Strategy Center (ISTI) … Continue reading “Record Taiwan Chip Production To Continue, Expanding Over 25% in 2022”