Dallas Fed October Trimmed Mean PCE Falls For The Month But Still Higher on Year

The Dallas Fed Trimmed Mean PCE for October showed the annualized rate of inflation at 4.2%, a slowdown from the extreme 4.9% in September but still elevated. The Federal Reserve favors the trimmed mean as it excludes the most extreme price changes in consumer goods and services each month. Looking out longer term , the six-month view annualized rate rose to 3.3% from 3.0%. The 12 month estimate rose to 2.6% from 2.3%. The numbers are lower than the traditional … Continue reading “Dallas Fed October Trimmed Mean PCE Falls For The Month But Still Higher on Year”

Reserve Bank of New Zealand Raised Rate 25 Basis Points as Expected

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand raised its Official Cash Rate from 0.50% to 0.75% as expected as capacity pressures have continued to tighten. RBNZ says headline CPI inflation is expected to measure above 5 percent. Reserve Bank of New Zealand raise its Official Cash Rate from 0.50% to 0.75% The rise in the official cash rate comes after last month’s which was the first since 2014 when the OCR hit a post-GFC peak of 3.5 per cent. RBNZ projections … Continue reading “Reserve Bank of New Zealand Raised Rate 25 Basis Points as Expected”

Turkey Lira Collapses Another 15% in One Day as Erdogan Defends Rate Cuts

Turkey’s currency, the lira collapse accelerated Tuesday, down 15% on the day. This was its second-worst day ever with the latest catalyst President Tayyip Erdogan defending the Turley Central Bank sharp rate cuts. He vows to win his so called “economic war of independence”. Meanwhile Turks can’t afford bare necessities as inflation runs rampant from the collapsed currency. Erdogan has dug his heals in from the widespread criticism and pleas to reverse course on rates. Highlights (via Reuters) Lira has … Continue reading “Turkey Lira Collapses Another 15% in One Day as Erdogan Defends Rate Cuts”

Fed’s Waller Wants a Faster Taper With Concern If Inflation Embedded Into Wage Demands

The Federal Reserve is continuing to voice it’s concern about inflation, wages and disparities between those who benefited from asset inflation and those who have been hurt by it. Fed Governor Christopher Waller said on Friday the rapid improving job market market and deteriorating inflation data have pushed him towards favoring a faster pace of tapering and more rapid removal of accommodation. “The rapid improvement in the labor market and the deteriorating inflation data have pushed me towards favoring a … Continue reading “Fed’s Waller Wants a Faster Taper With Concern If Inflation Embedded Into Wage Demands”

Seeing Broader Based Increases in Inflation – NY Fed Williams

The New York Fed president John Williams, hwo is a voting member continued with his hawkish tilt of late. His comments roiled financial markets somewhat with selling in the more speculative names such as those in Russell 2000 index. He also focused on familiar themes saying supply constraints are a major factor on the labor market and supply chain bottlenecks. “We definitely have seen a pickup in underlying inflation in the U.S. that we’ll be studying carefully,” Williams said during a virtual … Continue reading “Seeing Broader Based Increases in Inflation – NY Fed Williams”

Hawkish Bullard Cays Core PCE Is Quite High

Fed Governor speaking on BBGTV said US Core PCE Is “Quite High” and added that the Fed should take towards a more hawkish policy in the next couple of meetings. He said 3%-4% Rate `Is Not My Base Case’ Feds Bullard Speech Highlights Core PCE is quite high Fed should take towards a more hawkish policy in the next couple of meetings Markets are past the taper tantrum. The Fed could move further faster Fed taper increased to $30 billion … Continue reading “Hawkish Bullard Cays Core PCE Is Quite High”

RBA Says Underlying Inflation at 2.5% Mid-Point Would Not Warrant Rate Rise

Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Lowe in giving a speech after today’s release of the RBA November meeting minutes addressed what it would require for a rate rise in Australia. He spoke of varying inflation degrees and the difference domestically and globally.   Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Lowe speech:  Recent Trends in Inflation  Address to the Australian Business Economists (ABE)Online and Sydney – 16 November 2021  Speech Headlines via Reuters  Latest data, forecasts do not warrant a rate rise in 2022 Economy, … Continue reading “RBA Says Underlying Inflation at 2.5% Mid-Point Would Not Warrant Rate Rise”

Banco de México Raises Rates Again With Inflation Risk To Mexican Economy

The Mexican Central Bank, Banco de México raised interest rates by 25 basis points to 5.00% with the bank saying headline and core inflation forecasts were revised upwards. Last month the Banco Central do Brasil​ hiked its benchmark interest rate by 150bp to 7.75% The Mexico central bank Governing Board increased the target for the overnight interbank interest rate by 25 basis points to 5.00%. The vote was not unanimous, voting in favor of the decision were Alejandro Díaz de … Continue reading “Banco de México Raises Rates Again With Inflation Risk To Mexican Economy”

Elevated US Producer Price Inflation Continues Including a 4.8% Jump in Final Demand Energy Prices

US Producer price inflation continues elevated. Annual PPI remained at a record 8.6%, unchanged from September. Over 60% of the increase in the index for final demand was due to a 1.2% increase in prices for final demand goods, which included a 4.8% jump in prices for final demand energy.