The Chinese economy rose 18.3% yoy in the first quarter, though lower than the market consensus of 19%. China’s growth accelerated from 6.5% growth in Q4 . This was the strongest pace of expansion since 1992 (when records were first published)
Inflation in China came in higher than expected levels for both the consumer and producer in March. CPI 0.4% y/y (vs. expected 0.3%) & PPI 4.4% y/y ( vs. expected 3.6%) the quickest pace of increase since 2018. China Inflation March 2021 Consumer price index CPI 0.4% y/y, vs expected 0.3% y/y, prior – 0.2% for the m/m at -0.5% This was the highest reading since October 2020. On a monthly basis, consumer prices fell by 0.5 percent in March, … Continue reading “China Consumer and Producer Inflation Pace Quickens in March”
The PBOC issued a research paper on the Chinese households credit situation highlighting that a household credit boom could tend to drag down economic growth more so than corporate debt. Mortgages are handcuffing China’s economic potential, as funding is redirected toward real estate and away from more productive uses.
US New Home Sales in February were 775K vs 870K expected and down from prior 923K. Sales -18.2% vs -5.7% expected to the lowest in 9 months. The Midwest sales fell 37.5% with extreme cold weather however all regions fell back so weather was not the only negative impact.
US Existing Home Sales in September 6.54 million much stronger than the expected up 9.4%% (est 5.0%; prev R 2.0%). This was the highest since 2006 at 6.30 million and previous (revised) 5.98M million. At 2.7m supply is the lowest since 1982
US existing home sales for June were 4.72M v. 4.75M estimate. However the highlight was condominium sales soared by 29.4%, Hhousing inventory -18.2% from a year ago with huge jumps in the South and West
New home sales for April surprise with a much higher 623K versus a 480K estimate, that is a 0.6% vs. -23.4% estimate. This follows a revised 619K in March. May will be watched to see how many contracts are completed due to the Covid Lockdown.
NAHB housing market index for May 37 is up from 30 last month and a 35 estimate. For the year it is -29 from -33 last month.
US pending home sales fell a sharp -4.9% v +0.5% estimates, in contrast to December existing home sales rising to 5.54M v 5.43M expected. Mortgage data has been volatile but stronger in late 2019 flowing onto housing as the stockmarket hit all time highs.
US existing home sales rose to 5.54M v 5.43M expected and the prior 5.35M, up +3.6%% v +1.5% expected. Mortgage data has been volatile but stronger in late 2019 flowing onto housing as the stockmarket hit all time highs.