The US economy had the first contraction since early in the pandemic shrining 1.4% in the first quarter after it was expected to grow 1.1%. The decline in U.S. gross domestic product was a sharp reversal from the 6.9% annual growth rate in the fourth quarter, the Commerce Department said Thursday. The drop in GDP was fueled by a widening trade deficit. Fading government stimulus spending related to the pandemic weighed on GDP. USA Advance Q1 2022 GDP highlights The … Continue reading “Dismal US Q1 GDP Shrank 1.4% vs +1.1% expected”
The International Monetary Fund on Tuesday downgraded its 2022 global growth forecast to 4.4% in its World Economic Outlook report. The IMF said it expects global gross domestic product to grow 0.5% less than previously estimated. The revision is largely due to lower growth in the world’s two largest economies: the U.S. and China. Rising Covid-19 cases, supply chain disruptions and higher inflation have hampered the economic recovery. “The global economy enters 2022 in a weaker position than previously expected,” … Continue reading “IMF Cuts 2022 Global Growth With US, China and EU all Downgraded”
Australia’s GDP shrank -1.9% q/q in Q3, less than market expectations of a 2.7% decline and after 0.7% growth in Q2. This was the first contraction in the economy since Q2 2020 with the damage done from lengthy lockdowns across New South Wales, Victoria, and the Australia Capital Territory due to Covid-19. Australian Gross Domestic Product (GDP) fell 1.9 per cent in seasonally adjusted chain volume terms in the September quarter 2021 and was up 3.9 per cent through the … Continue reading “Australian Economy Shrank Less Than Expected in Q3”
Australia saw stronger than expected GDP for the second quarter at +0.7% q/q higher than expected 0.5% q/q but down from prior 1.8%. Year on year record high +9.6% growth higher than expected 9.2% y/y and prior 1.1% with the base effect.
The US economy grew by a robust annualized 6.4 percent in the first quarter of 2021, following a 4.3 percent expansion in the previous three-month period and slightly ahead market expectations of 6.1 percent, the advance estimate showed. The bounce back comes with stimulus payments and reopening activity catalyzed by the COVID vaccines.
The Chinese economy rose 18.3% yoy in the first quarter, though lower than the market consensus of 19%. China’s growth accelerated from 6.5% growth in Q4 . This was the strongest pace of expansion since 1992 (when records were first published)
Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased 2.1% in the fourth quarter of 2019, “advance” estimates by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Personal consumption was stronger but drop in business investment hinder.
What is clear in 2019 politcy makers responses have misjudged the global economy. The Inclusive Development Index (IDI)reflects more closely the criteria by which people evaluate their countries’ economic progress and is designed as an alternative GDP measures.
The German economy is faltering as we have seen with PMI and sentiment. Brexit and trade wars helped Germany Q2 preliminary GDP come in negative as expected triggering further selling in the German DAX and world stockmarkets already down after a big miss in Chinese growth.
Real gross domestic product (GDP) increased 2.1% in the second quarter of 2019, “advance” estimates by the Bureau of Economic Analysis. Core PCE +1.8% vs +2.0% expected. Cconsumption was stronger but drop in business investment and weak housing hinder.