China to Boost Domestic Coal Production to Ensure Energy Security

China, the world’s largest coal consumer and producer, announced that it would boost domestic production to ensure its energy security. Newcastle thermal coal futures fell more than $US70 a tonne to $US335 a tonne on Friday night for the October ICE contract. China has been hard by its ill-thought-out trade war with Australia which put them behind the queue as record prices for top quality Australian hard coking coal were set regularly in June the price hit $US430 (AUD$595) a … Continue reading “China to Boost Domestic Coal Production to Ensure Energy Security”

US Share of Electricity Generation from Coal to Decline Further Despite Soaring Natural Gas Prices EIA Forecasts

The EIA in their June STEO expect the continued retirement of coal-fired generating capacity in the United States to see the share of electricity generation from coal to decline from 23% in 2021 to 21% in 2022 and to 20% in 2023. Despite surging natural gas prices constraints include limited rail capacity for fuel delivery, low coal stocks at power plants, reduced coal mining capacity, and rising generation from renewable sources. Coal prices have risen unabated with supply chain disruptions globally.   The EIA … Continue reading “US Share of Electricity Generation from Coal to Decline Further Despite Soaring Natural Gas Prices EIA Forecasts”

The Energy Crisis and Volatility See Natural Gas and VIX the Best Performing Futures in January

Futures and commodities had a volatile start to 2022. January was about the energy crisis and interest rates and inflation. This pattern accelerated after the Fed minutes of the December FOMC took hold. This was borne out by the best performing futures being natural gas, VIX and Palladium. Energy was five of the highest gains for the month. The worse were lumber, ethanol and the major stock market indices. For the month S&P and Nasdaq have their worst month since … Continue reading “The Energy Crisis and Volatility See Natural Gas and VIX the Best Performing Futures in January”

Australian Coking Coal Record High with Strong Demand in Korea and Japan

Record prices for top quality Australian hard coking coal were set three times in the past week. The price hit $US430 ($595) a tonne Wednesday, almost four times the price in May. Coal prices have risen unabated with supply chain disruptions. Strong demand in Korea and Japan has fueled the rally over the past seven weeks. The prices were already pressured with Indonesia’s decision to ban coal exports. Further pressure on coal prices came from BHP, the world’s biggest coking … Continue reading “Australian Coking Coal Record High with Strong Demand in Korea and Japan”

Oats, Coffee, Canola and Lumber Pip Energy as Best Performing Futures in 2022

Agricultural and energy futures and commodities rose sharply pumped by the reopening of economies in 2021 with the Covid -19 knock ons running roughshod over supply routes and employment. The biggest losers were last year’s winners, safe haven elements such as the VIX, treasuries and foodstuffs. Oat Futures closed up 89.74% this year. back in October the United Nations index shows that global food prices recently hit a decade high, oat futures hit an all-time high of $6.36 a bushel … Continue reading “Oats, Coffee, Canola and Lumber Pip Energy as Best Performing Futures in 2022”

Traders Market Weekly: Retail Sales, Chips and Inflation

November 14 – 20 2021 FEAR NOT Brave Investors Where have we been and where are we going? Join our weekly market thread on Traders Community… Retail Sales, Chip Earnings and Inflation The Week That Was – What Lies Ahead? Contents Part A: Stock markets Part B: Bonds Fed and Banks Part C: Commodities Energy – Oil and Gas Gold and Silver Part D: Foreign Exchange Geopolitics and Economics Economy Week ahead Editorial The markets shrugged off lots of land mines this … Continue reading “Traders Market Weekly: Retail Sales, Chips and Inflation”

Oats, Canola, Cotton All Pip Silver and Oil as Best Performing Futures in October

Futures and commodities contined to be volatile in October of 2021 as energy markets ran roughshod. The biggest gainers were safehaven elements such as precious metals silver, platinum and palladium along with foodstuffs such as grains. The weakest was VIX as you would expect with US stock indices at record highs

US Coal Generation Increased For The First Time Since 2014 Due To Soaring Natural Gas Prices

The EIA in their STEO expect 22% more U.S.Coal Fired Generation in 2021 over 2020. The increase is from soaring higher natural gas prices. While Coal prices have risen unabatted with supply chain disruptions globally there have risen less than gas in the US.

Record High Chinese Coal Futures Prices After Biggest Coal Producing Region Floods

Coal prices have risen unabated with supply chain disruptions, China has been particularly badly hit and that just got more critical. Floods closed 60 of the 682 coal mines in Shanxi province, 30% of China’s production.   Torrential rains has led to flooding and expanded mine shutdowns in China’s biggest coal producing region, Shanxi province. In a market already squeezing higher this latest news sent Thermal coal futures to a new intraday record after trading opened Monday. Beijing is ina … Continue reading “Record High Chinese Coal Futures Prices After Biggest Coal Producing Region Floods”

Natural Gas Volatilty a Lesson in The Reversal of Fortunes

This week’s poster child in volatiity and risk is Miami-based hedge fund Statar Capital who specialise in natural gas. After being up huge in the first 10 days of this month down about 7.7 per cent for September before fees as Natural gas futures went from 4.80 to 5.60btu and back.