ECB accounts of its October monetary policy meeting addressed a lot of key questions. The big one, is inflation transitory and are we headed for stagflation? The Bank recalled that stagflation experiences in the 1970s occurred in a different environment, in which indexation allowed wages to react to energy prices. The shortage of critical supplies including energy and other commodities has “seen market-based measures of inflation compensation in the euro area had surged to their highest levels in over seven years, … Continue reading “ECB Stresses Current Inflation Hump Shaped Not Stagflation”
Germany’s benchmark Blue Chip DAX 30 index (Deutscher Aktienindex) expanded to 40 companies on 20 September adding 10 new members to the German stock index from the MDAX which will be reduced from 60 to 50 members.
Yves Mersch, senior member of the Executive Board of the ECB on Monday warned that asset prices are currently at very elevated levels. This comes at a time near all time highs in many global stock markets despite elvated risk.
Germany’s states; Saxony, Brandenburg, Hesse, Bavaria, North Rhine Westphalia and Baden Wuerttemberg all released their monthly inflation rates showing continued deflationary pressures, though there is some inflationary pricing in the core, particularly in Saxony to bring a smile to the ECB.
Fitch Ratings affirmed Germany’s Sovereign rating and long term IDR’s and unsecured foreign and local currency bonds at ‘AAA’ with a stable outlook as expected. Germany ran a surplus last year and Germany’s fiscal position is expected to continue to improve.
German software giant SAP report fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday. Last quarter cloud related sales were up 37% and $SAP gave robust guidance as it takes on cloud giants Amazon (AWS) and Microsoft however global economy risks have increased since.
France’s market watchdog Autorite des Marches Financie (AMF) sees as the number risk for 2018 a brutal correction of stock prices. Goldman Sachs Bull/Bear Index is at the highest in almost 50 years. Analysts preach this time its different, is it?
The German Bundesbank in it’s monthly report said that Germany’s growth in the third quater may be somewhat slower than the first half of the year. The central bank said the economy is on a ‘sound’ path driven by household consumption’
German chancellor Angela Merkel was out today saying “Europe needs a strong Germany, it is desirable to get a government in place quickly”. Germany still has not formed a government since she won the election but short of a majority.
Germany’s economic ministry raised GDP forecasts for 2017 and 2018 on Wednesday saying also that robust German domestic consumption will see imports outstripping exports implying Germany will aid European and world growth.