Focus on Powell, Fed Loan Survey and RBA Interest Rate

The week was surprised by a more hawkish Federal Reserve chair this week over rate guidance and QT parameters though it barely reduced punts for rate cuts at future meetings. We get more from the Fed this week with a Powell 60 minutes interview and the Fed’s loan survey to inform on credit tightening. Also ahead is ECB inflation expectations and monetary policy decisions from Banxico, Peru, RBA, Poland. India and Thailand. There were no surprises last week from the … Continue reading “Focus on Powell, Fed Loan Survey and RBA Interest Rate”

Central Bank Watch – Week Ahead Focus Fed, BOE, Riksbank Amid Irrational Exuberance

The coming week brings out meetings with the Federal Reserve mulling over rate guidance and QT parameters. Nothing is expected from that statement-only outcome and markets have reduced punts for rate cuts at the March 20th and May 1st meetings. We also have the Bank of England, Riksbank, Hungary and several LatAm central banks, Brazil, Chile and Columbia. They are confronted by a new round of developments such as the shipping crisis in the Middle East that injects further uncertainty … Continue reading “Central Bank Watch – Week Ahead Focus Fed, BOE, Riksbank Amid Irrational Exuberance”

Bank of Japan Maintains Status Quo, Core Inflation Forecasts Trimmed

The Bank of Japan at its January monetary policy meeting maintained existing policy as widely expected. The BoJ kept unchanged its -0.1% target for short-term interest rates, and 0% for the 10-year government bond yield unanimously. Previously the BoJ adjusted the settings by shifting the hard ceiling from 0.50% to 1.00% in the yield curve control band of +/- 0.50%. No change to core-core inflation forecasts, but core inflation forecasts were trimmed. Bank of Japan Governor Ueda’s press conference dis … Continue reading “Bank of Japan Maintains Status Quo, Core Inflation Forecasts Trimmed”

Central Bank Watch – Week Ahead Focus BoJ, BoC, Norges, Turkey and ECB

It’s been a quiet start to the year for central bankers, the coming week brings them out confronted by a new round of developments such as the shipping crisis in the Middle East that injects further uncertainty into their plans. We have decisions from Bank of Japan (Tuesday), Bank of Canada, Bank Negara Malaysia (Wednesday), Norges Bank, South African Reserve Bank, Central Bank of Turkey and the European Central Bank (Thursday). Then we have the January 31st FOMC meeting and … Continue reading “Central Bank Watch – Week Ahead Focus BoJ, BoC, Norges, Turkey and ECB”

Central Bank Watch – Week Ahead Focus China, Lagarde, Indonesia and Biege Book

Quiet start to the year for central bankers, National Bank of Poland, Central Reserve Bank of Peru and Bank of Korea decisions all as expected. We did get a hotter CPI print before the January 31st FOMC meeting and with those expectations for the Fed’s preferred PCE measure of inflation on January 26th. Nothing is expected from that statement-only outcome and markets have reduced punts for rate cuts at the March 20th and May 1st meetings. Ahead this week we … Continue reading “Central Bank Watch – Week Ahead Focus China, Lagarde, Indonesia and Biege Book”

Central Bank Watch – Week Ahead Focus on Final CPI Before January 31st FOMC

No surprise with the FOMC minutes as expected though they did the expand rate cut dialogue to remind it isn’t over yet for ates, possibly. For the Fed Thursday brings the final CPI print before the January 31st FOMC meeting and with those expectations for the Fed’s preferred PCE measure of inflation on January 26th. Nothing is expected from that statement-only outcome and markets have reduced punts for rate cuts at the March 20th and May 1st meetings. We also … Continue reading “Central Bank Watch – Week Ahead Focus on Final CPI Before January 31st FOMC”

Central Bank Watch – Week Ahead Focus on Fed Minutes Looking for Clues on Rate Cuts

With the Christmas and New Year’s holidays it’s a very quiet time for Central Banks with no surprises from the BoJ Summary of Opinions and Minutes from the Bank of Korea and Reserve Bank of India. In the New Year it all begins again FOMC minutes to expand on rate cut dialogue with memories of last year’s first Fed meeting that started the rise in rates and sell off in equity markets from record highs still fresh. FOMC Member Barkin … Continue reading “Central Bank Watch – Week Ahead Focus on Fed Minutes Looking for Clues on Rate Cuts”

Central Bank Watch – Week Ahead Focus on BoJ, BoK and RBI Minutes and Opinions

A predictable past week of central bank action, Japan’s BoJ, Columbia’s BanRep, Banco Central de Chile, Hungary’s Central Bank, Bank Indonesia and Central Bank of Turkey all pretty much went to plan. We had big macro numbers that also stayed around consensus including US core PCE, UK core CPI, Japan’s CPI post-BoJ, NZ to issue a mid-year fiscal update and Canadian core CPI. With the Christmas Holidays it’s a very quiet time for Central Banks with just the BoJ Summary … Continue reading “Central Bank Watch – Week Ahead Focus on BoJ, BoK and RBI Minutes and Opinions”

Bank Indonesia Keeps Rates Unchanged at Highest Level Since 2009 to Support Rupiah

Bank Indonesia kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 6.00% as universally expected at its December meeting. Governor Warjiyo said, “we will not rush” to ease next year and that they may only have comfort in addressing risks to the stability of the rupiah by “the second half of 2024.” There was little overall effect on the currency or rates. He added the decision was “consistent with the focus of pro-stability monetary policy, to strengthen the stability of the rupiah … Continue reading “Bank Indonesia Keeps Rates Unchanged at Highest Level Since 2009 to Support Rupiah”

Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda Leaves Options Open, Will Give No Preemptive Warnings

Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda was stoic in declaring the BOJ is to keep its options open at the follow up press briefing after the central bank’s two-day meeting. Perhaps in deference to the Fed and ECB telegraphing intentions he added that policymakers were unlikely to give an explicit warning of an impending rate hike. “There isn’t much likelihood of us suddenly announcing that we’ll raise rates a month in advance,” Ueda said. Earlier the Bank of Japan maintained … Continue reading “Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda Leaves Options Open, Will Give No Preemptive Warnings”