Solid Demand at 3-Year Treasury Bond Auction as 2s10s Tightened to Record -104bps

The week’s auctions started off with solid demand for the $40 billion 3-year note sale, with solid domestic and international demand. The sale drew a high yield of 4.635%, which tailed the when-issued yield by 0.6 basis points while the bid-to-cover ratio (2.73x) was above average. Ahead of the auction the Treasury complex retreated in immediate reaction to this morning’s hawkish testimony from Fed Chairman Powell. The response saw a further tightening in the 2s10s spread by another eleven basis points to -104 bps, a new record. The desk gave an A- rating on the auction.  Equities trade at their lows with the S&P 500 down 1.2%.

Today’s $40 bln bid-to-cover ratio (2.73x) and indirect takedown (62.49%) were above average.  The desk gave an A- rating on the auction.

  • The domestic demand was above its twelve-month average indicative of stronger domestic demand
  • International demand (indirect) was comfortably below the six-month average

Auction Highlights

  • Duration: 3 Years
  • Amount:  $40 billion
  • High yield 4.635%
  • WI level 4.641%
  • Tail versus -0.6 basis points versus six-month average of 0.3 basis points
  • Bid to cover 2.73X times versus six-month average of 2.56X
  • Dealers 16.84% versus 21.1% six-month average
  • Directs 20.67% versus six-month average of 18.9%
  • indirects 62.49% versus six-month average of 60.1%

Auction grade: A-

Yields after the auction

  • 2-yr: +8 bps to 4.99%
  • 3-yr: +6 bps to 4.69%
  • 5-yr: +2 bps to 4.29%
  • 10-yr: -3 bps to 3.96%
  • 30-yr: -5 bps to 3.86

Prior auction results:

  • High yield: 3.431%
  • Bid-to-cover: 2.52
  • Indirect bid: 58.8%
  • Direct bid: 19.0%

Average results of previous 12 auctions:

  • High yield: 3.431%
  • Bid-to-cover: 2.52
  • Indirect bid: 58.8%
  • Direct bid: 19.0%

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From The TradersCommunity US News Desk