Softer Demand in 5-Year Treasury Auction Follows Yesterday’s Strong 2-Year

U.S. Treasuries saw some renewed selling after the completion of today’s $43 bln 5-yr note auction, which met much weaker demand than yesterday’s 2-yr note sale. Not a surprise there with what we have been seeing on the curve. Today’s sale drew a high yield of 4.019%, which stopped through the when-issued yield by 0.7 bps while the bid-to-cover ratio (2.52x) and indirect takedown (68.1%) were just above average. Another factor was equities trade higher with the S&P 500 (+0.9%) and Nasdaq (+1.2%). The desk gave a C rating on the auction. Today’s sale followed yesterdays $42 bln 2-yr note A- rated auction. Tomorrow sees a $35 bln 7-yr note sale.

Today’s $43 bln bid-to-cover ratio (2.52x) and indirect takedown (68.1%) were above average.  The desk gave a C rating on the auction.

  • The domestic demand was above its 12-month average indicative of domestic demand higher on the curve.
  • International demand (indirect) was above 12-month average.

Auction Highlights

  • Duration: 5 Years
  • Amount:  $43 billion
  • High yield 4.019%
  • WI level at the time of the option 4.012%
  • Stopped through by 0.7 bps basis points
  • Bid to cover 2.52X vs 12-month average of 2.45X
  • Directs (a measure of domestic demand) 19.7% versus 12-month average of 17.9%
  • Indirects (a measure of international demand) 68.1% versus 12-month average of 66.5%

Auction grade: C

Yields after the auction.

  • 2-yr: +2 bps to 4.76%
  • 3-yr: +7 bps to 4.37%
  • 5-yr: +7 bps to 4.03%
  • 10-yr: +5 bps to 3.76%
  • 30-yr: +2 bps to 3.84%

Prior auction results:

  • High yield: 3.749%
  • Bid-to-cover: 2.58
  • Indirect bid: 72.7%
  • Direct bid: 18.0%

Average results of previous 12 auctions:

  • High yield: 3.690%
  • Bid-to-cover: 2.45
  • Indirect bid: 66.5%
  • Direct bid: 17.9%

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From The TradersCommunity US News Desk