Soft 2-year Treasury Bond Auction with 2.7bps Tail

Treasuries fell to lows after the completion of today’s soft $42 bln 2-yr note auction. The sale drew a high yield of 3.954% which tailed the when-issued yield by 2.7 bps while the bid-to-cover ratio (2.44x) and indirect takedown (52.8%) were below average. Today’s auction will be followed by a $43 bln 5-yr note offering tomorrow and a $35 bln 7-yr note sale on Wednesday. The desk gave a D- rating on the auction.

Today’s $42 bln bid-to-cover ratio (2.44x) and indirect takedown (52.8%) were below average.  The desk gave a D rating on the auction.

  • The domestic demand was below its twelve-month average indicative of softer domestic demand
  • International demand (indirect) was also comfortably below the six-month average
  • Primary dealers were left with 21.9 % versus normal around 22.2%

Auction Highlights

  • Duration: 2 Years
  • Amount:  $42 billion
  • High yield 3.954%
  • WI 3.927%
  • Tail -2.7 BPs.
  • bid to cover 2.44x vs 12-month average of 2.62X
  • Dealers 23.0% vs. 12-month average 19.1%
  • Direct 24.2% vs. 12-month average of 22.0%
  • Indirects 52.8% vs.12-month average of 58.9%

Auction grade: D

Yields after the auction

  • 2-yr: +23 bps to 4.00%
  • 3-yr: +20 bps to 3.79%
  • 5-yr: +18 bps to 3.59%
  • 10-yr: +14 bps to 3.52%
  • 30-yr: +9 bps to 3.74%

Prior auction results:

  • High yield: 4.673%
  • Bid-to-cover: 2.61
  • Indirect bid: 62.0%
  • Direct bid: 23.0%

Average results of previous 12 auctions:

  • High yield: 3.610%
  • Bid-to-cover: 2.62
  • Indirect bid: 58.9%
  • Direct bid: 22.0%

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