Quiet U.S. 7-year Treasury Bond Auction as US Dollar Trades at Six Month Lows

U.S. Treasuries were higher even after the completion of today’s $35 billion 7-yr note auction, demand was steady in a holiday week with a high yield of 3.921%, which tailed the when-issued yield 3.913% by 0.7 bps. The bid-to-cover ratio (2.45x) was below average (2.57x) and so was indirect takedown (68.1% vs. 68.7% average). The fixed interest desk rated the auction a C. Yesterday there the Treasury auctioned $43 bln 5-yr notes. Of note the US dollar has been under pressure today, DXY down 0.6% to 103.85 its lowest levels since June. A resurgent yen (USD/JPY -1.1% to 132.96) as JGB yields moved higher.

Today’s $35 bln 7-yr note -.8 basis point tail is indicative of steady demand. The desk gave a C rating on the auction.

  • The domestic demand was above its six-month average indicative of stronger domestic demand
  • International demand (indirect) was comfortably below the six-month average
  • Primary dealers were left with over 15.75% versus normal around 11.7%

Auction Highlights

  • Duration: 7 Years
  • Amount:  $35 billion
  • High yield of 3.921%
  • WI 3.913%
  • Tail 2.7 basis points vs. six-month average of -0.4 basis points
  • bid to cover 2.45 vs. 2.57 X
  • dealers 15.75% vs. six-month average of 11.7%
  • directs 16.2% vs. six-month average of 19.6%
  • indirects 68.1% vs. six-month average of 68.7%

Auction grade: C

Yields after the auction

  • 2-yr: +2 bps to 4.37%
  • 3-yr: +1 bp to 4.18%
  • 5-yr: -5 bps to 3.93%
  • 10-yr: -6 bps to 3.83%
  • 30-yr: -5 bps to 3.92%

Prior auction results:

  • High yield: 3.890%
  • Bid-to-cover: 2.33
  • Indirect bid: 61.8%
  • Direct bid: 16.8%

Average results of previous 12 auctions:

  • High yield: 2.858%
  • Bid-to-cover: 2.46
  • Indirect bid: 65.5%
  • Direct bid: 20.8%

Live From the Pit

From The TradersCommunity US News Desk