The EIA releases it’s weekly natural gas storage report each Thursday at 10.30 ET, the key data point for natural gas traders outside of weather modelling. This week another build is expected.
EIA’s Weekly Gas Storage Report Report Date: 10/5/17 Release Time: Thursday October 12 2017 10:30 ET
Natural gas hub futures has triedand failed all week to get over $3.00 and failed. Upside risk remains Cheniere Train 4 as LNG feedgas demand and exports to Mexico continue near all-time highs. Forecasts look normal for next week but nothing constructive. Bets will start being placed on 4T storage at year end at this pace.
Market Expectations
- Actual +87 Bcf Prior +42 Bcf
- Consensus Forecast +85 Bcf
- Cons. Range: +75 to +92 Bcf
- EIA swap: +45 to +46 @ CT 15.13
Last Week’s Report +42 Bcf #TCNG
Bentek
- Bentek S/D Model: +87 Bcf
- Bentek Flow Model: +84 Bcf
Analysts Build Forecasts
- Norse Gas +92 Bcf
- Donnie Sharp Huntsville +91 Bcf
- Schneider Electric +91 Bcf
- Kidduff Report + 89 Bcf
- Bentek S/D +87 Bcf
- Gabe Harris +87 Bcf
- Peter Marrin SNL +87 Bcf
- Bloomberg Survey +85 Bcf
- Charlie Fenner Macquarie +85 Bcf
- Andy Wiessman +84 Bcf
- Bentek Flow +84 Bcf
- Genscape +84 Bcf
- DJ Survey +82 Bcf
- Shuya Li Pira 82 Bcf
- Reuters Survey 82 Bcf
- Jared Hunter 79 Bcf
- Tim Evans Citi +77 Bcf
- Raymond James +77 Bcf
- Criterion +75 Bcf
The Fundamental Edge with Brynne Kelly @BrynneKKelly
Natural Gas Storage Futures weekly EIA storage futures 10/10 (EIA Swap)
Current Storage Level vs. Last Year & 5-Yr
- Current Storage Level: 3,508 Bcf
- Storage 2016/Same Week: 3669
- 5Yr Avg/Same Week: 3516
Further Energy Analysis: Criterion Research
Sources: TradersCommunity Research, Criterion Research
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