The EIA releases it’s weekly natural gas storage report each Thursday at 10.30 ET, the key data point for natural gas traders outside of weather modelling. Natural gas hub futures have continued to be sold off hard after breaking $3.00 again
The EIA releases it’s weekly natural gas storage report each Thursday at 10.30 ET, the key data point for natural gas traders outside of weather modelling. This week the market is expecting a draw. Natural gas hub futures have sold off agressively under $2.70 Btu as weather models hold off extreme cold.
Natural gas futures have dissappointed bulls yet again with. Northeast production setting record highs and polar weather not arriving as of yet. For upside risk it would take model shifts combined with Cheniere Train 4 as LNG feedgas demand and exports to Mexico continue near all-time highs. All eyes on weather models heading into Christmas.
EIA’s Weekly Gas Storage Report Report Date: 12/7/17
- Via TradersCommunity.com
- Release Time: Thursday December 14 2017 10:30 ET
Market Expectations
- Actual – 69 Bcf Prior +2 Bcf
- Consensus Forecast -60 Bcf
- Cons. Range: -68 to -52 Bcf
- EIA swap: -66 to -63 @ CT 15.13
Last Week’s Report +2 Bcf #TCNG
Bentek on MidContinent
“Overall demand in the region was up 2.2 Bcf/d, as industrial and power demand also grew by an average 0.2 and 0.3 Bcf/d compared to the previous week. The rise in demand was not met with a corresponding rise in supply, but contrarily a decrease in total supply, as net inflows fell by 0.9 Bcf/d, and production remained nearly flat. Overall supply-demand implied withdrawal figures that indicate the region was short 3 Bcf/d compared to the previous week, adding minor upside risk to the 28-Bcf withdrawal forecast for the Midwest region.”
Bentek
- Bentek S/D Model: – 54 Bcf
- Bentek Flow Model: – 68 Bcf
Analysts Draw Forecasts
- Bloomberg Survey – 58 Bcf
- DJ Survey – 59 Bcf
- Reuters Survey – 60 Bcf
- Bentek Flow -68 Bcf
- Bentek S/D -54 Bcf
- Gabe Harris -67 Bcf
- Genscape – 68 Bcf
- Andy Wiessman -52 Bcf
- Criterion – Bcf
- Robry – 64 Bcf
- Shuya Li Pira – 60 Bcf
- Peter Marrin SNL – 57 Bcf
- Point Logic – 57 Bcf
- Kidduff Report -52 Bcf
- Schneider Electric – 56 Bcf
- Donnie Sharp Huntsville – 64 Bcf
- TFS – 60 Bcf
- Macquarie – 64 Bcf
- Raymond James -52 Bcf
- Tim Evans Citi -53 Bcf
The Fundamental Edge with @BrynneKKelly
Current Storage Level vs. Last Year; 5-Yr
- Current Storage Level: 3,695 Bcf
- Storage 2016/Same Week: 3959
- 5Yr Avg/Same Week: 3731
Further Energy Analysis: Criterion Research
Sources: TradersCommunity Research, Criterion Research
From the Traders Community News Desk