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Digital banking platform Coinbase went public on Wednesday trading under the symbol $COIN. The Nasdaq’s first major direct listing rose as high as $429.54 briefly giving it a market value over $100 billion. Growing popularity of cryptocurrencies has seen attention shift towards the exchanges they trade on.

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Coinbase debuts on the NASADQ - COIN Day One

  • Coinbase’s market cap exceeded $100 billion onr its debut at the peak of $429.54
  • Nasdaq provided a reference price late Tuesday of $250, but as a direct listing no shares changed hands at that price.
  • Coinbase has soared in value in the past year alongside bitcoin and ethereum, which account for most of the volume on the site.

Coinbase Debut's In what turned out to be extremely volatile day Coinbase opened at $381 a share, up 52% from its reference price of $250. soared to $429.54, fell back to a low of 310 and closed the first day at $328.28. Not for the faint of heart.

COIN Day 1

Comments on the debut via CNBC

Sarah Kunst, managing director of Cleo Capital, explains the significance of the debut.

"The thing that is not debatable is that this is a huge success story for crypto overall, and what we're seeing here is the first major IPO, the first IPO ever really, for a crypto company, for a crypto exchange in the U.S. And I think that no matter what happens with their stock price minute to minute or over the next few quarters, this milestone is the first of many and crypto companies are here to stay even in the public markets." '

Michael Bucella, partner at BlockTower Capital, mentions one tailwind boosting Coinbase.

"There is enormous operating leverage within Coinbase. If you think about their fee revenue model, it's primarily crypto-driven, so fees are collected in crypto. So you had an acceleration increase in fees, plus the acceleration in price gives you this almost levered beta to this space."

Emily Parker, TV co-anchor at CoinDesk, highlights some challenges Coinbase could face.

"It's hugely important for the crypto industry, and that's why this listing is so important, because Coinbase in many ways is seen as a gateway to the mainstream world. Coinbase is relatively easy to use, it's trusted, so it's for new investors who want to get into the crypto market. But ... that could actually be a risk to Coinbase over the long term because Coinbase is going to start seeing more competition from banks. If there is an ETF, will that pose a risk to Coinbase? If a bank allows you to start buying crypto out of your checking account, will people still use Coinbase? So interestingly as crypto gets more and more mainstream, Coinbase will have to maintain that first-mover advantage."

Bobby Cho, partner at CMS Holdings, sees opportunity ahead for Coinbase.

"There's this opportunity for Coinbase to access all different types of traditional products. Two years ago, I believe, they bought Keystone, a broker dealer, so that's in the works, and there are other ways that they haven't even tapped into in terms of monetizing how current exchanges ... are currently making money, such as market data. At this point, market data is free, but at some point they're going to start to latch on to some of those revenue streams, and I just look at all of that as a growth opportunity here."

About Coinbase

The company operates a platform that allows individuals and institutions to trade Bitcoin and over 45 other crypto assets.

The company saw explosive growth in the 4Q20, as did bitcoin soaring well past $50,000 from around $2000. The company has 56m verified users and its latest results showed the company turned over $1.8bn in the first three months of its fiscal year. Coinbase and its revenue is directly tied to cryptocurrency transactions, which have fluctuated violently historically as have the underlying cryptocurrencies.

Coinbase’s last formal valuation came in 2018 when it received $300 million in E-series funding and was reportedly worth $8 billion. It is uncertain what the price of COIN shares will be upon their direct listing. Sales on the Nasdaq Private Market have reached as high as $375 per share.

In its most recent quarterly update Coinbase announced that it expects to make between $730m to $800m in Q1. For the whole of 2020 it generated revenue of $1.3bn. Trading volume for the last quarter was over $335bn, with assets on its platform rising to $223bn, including $122bn from what they called “institutional” users. Coinbase didn’t provide any guidance, citing the “inherent unpredictability” of its business.

On April 6, the company released stunning preliminary results for Q1, highlighted by 844% yr/yr revenue growth to $1.8 bln. Underlying the soaring top-line growth was a sharp increase in Monthly Transacting Users (MTUs) to 6.1 mln from 2.8 mln for the year ended December 31, 2020. 

COIN's conservatively forecast for FY21 called for MTUs of 5.5 mln, indicating a slowdown from recent trends. Even for COIN's best case scenario, MTU's are only forecasted to increase to 7.0 mln from the current 6.1 mln level.

The company did outline three separate scenarios for the year, with the most optimistic predicting around 7m monthly users, which is slightly higher from its current 6.1m monthly transacting users. As a result of the direct listing the company expects to incur expenses of $35m in Q2.

How Coinbase Makes Money

When someone completes a transaction on Coinbase, they pay fees for the privilege of using the service.

One of these is the Coinbase fee. This is either a flat rate or a variable percentage. It is based on the user’s region, product feature and payment type. Coinbase’s other fee is the margin or spread of up to 2.00% of the transaction. This is added to the exchange rate on Coinbase Pro — the trading platform tied to Coinbase where all orders are fulfilled. Coinbase also has a few other revenue streams that continue to grow over time:

  • Coinbase Pro: A platform that enables users to trade directly on the Coinbase exchange that backs their Coinbase transactions
  • Coinbase Commerce: A software-as-a-service product that provides payment processing for online merchants
  • Coinbase Card: A physical Visa debit card that converts cryptocurrency to U.S. dollars, enabling users to make purchases anywhere Visa cards are accepted USD Coin (USDC): A cryptocurrency offered by Coinbase with a value tied directly to the U.S. dollar whereby there is always a 1-to-1 relationship between the two,

From The TradersCommunity Research Desk

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