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The US trade deficit in Novemeber was $43.1B down from prior month's $46.9 billion. The China and US trade deficit fell to to -$26.37B. Since then the ongoing trade war has been broken into phases, phase one is due to be ratified next week.

US Trade Nov 2019

US trade balance for the month of November 2019.

  • US trade deficit for November $-43.1 billion.
  • Prior month revised to $-46.9 billion from previous $-47.2 billion
  • Exports +0.7% versus October -0.1%
  • imports -1.0% versus October -1.7%
  • Goods deficit $-63.9 billion
  • Service surplus +$20.82 billion
  • Capital goods imports $55.41 billion versus October $56.56 billion
  • China deficit $-26.37 billion versus $-31.3 billion last month

OPEC

  • November trade surplus $1.02 billion
  • 1st October surplus of $1.73 billion
  • Oil import price $51.92 per barrel versus October $52 per barrel.
  • Oil import price down -9.8% from November 2018 price of $57.54 per barrel

The deficit is the lowest since February 2017 - $43.1 billion

The great irony of this trade war is that the fallout is real and justifiable to all sides of politics, that tells you more about politics than anything. We have seen global PMI's collapse and growth collapse as countries turn inward. The trade gaps have subtracted  percentage point from the annualized growth pace of gross domestic product during the period. We get the long game, but this has been over eighteen months and America’s merchandise trade deficit with China widened in June to a five-month high, government figures showed Friday.

Now there are two arguments we need a trade war to bring the trade gap down down or  these tariffs working in fixing the problem. The answer probably lies in between. The strong US dollar negates much of the price affect, there lies a big problem for the US here and probably why POTUS is so irate at the US interest rate differential supporting the US dollar.

Goods by Selected Countries and Areas:

Monthly – Census Basis

The November figures show surpluses, in billions of dollars, with South and Central America ($4.9), Hong Kong ($1.8), Brazil ($1.7), United Kingdom ($1.3), OPEC ($0.7), Singapore ($0.6), and Saudi Arabia ($0.1).

Deficits were recorded, in billions of dollars, with China ($25.6), European Union ($13.5), Mexico ($8.5), Japan ($5.7), Germany ($5.2), India ($2.4), Italy ($2.3), Taiwan ($1.7), Canada ($1.7), South Korea ($1.2), and France ($1.2).

  • The deficit with China decreased $2.2 billion to $25.6 billion in November. Exports increased $1.4 billion to $8.9 billion and imports decreased $0.8 billion to $34.5 billion.
  • The deficit with Canada decreased $1.6 billion to $1.7 billion in November. Exports increased $0.1 billion to $24.0 billion and imports decreased $1.5 billion to $25.7 billion.
  • The deficit with Japan increased $1.3 billion to $5.7 billion in November. Exports decreased $0.6 billion to $5.8 billion and imports increased $0.7 billion to $11.6 billion.

All statistics referenced are seasonally adjusted; statistics are on a balance of payments basis unless otherwise specified.

Exports and imports of goods account for about three-fourths of America’s total trade; the U.S. typically runs a deficit in merchandise trade and a surplus in services.

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell has cited trade tensions with China as one of the biggest risks to an otherwise resilient U.S. economy.

Annual Summary for 2018 Exports, Imports, and Balance

The December 2018 gap was a 10-year high and wider than the median estimate of economists. The merchandise-trade deficit with China, which has been the focus of President Trump’s trade war hit a record $419.2 billion in 2018

For 2018, the goods and services deficit was $621.0 billion, up $68.8 billion from $552.3 billion in 2017. Exports were $2,500.0 billion in 2018, up $148.9 billion from 2017. Imports were $3,121.0 billion, up $217.7 billion from 2017.

The 2018 increase in the goods and services deficit reflected an increase in the goods deficit of $83.8 billion, or 10.4 percent, to $891.3 billion and an increase in the services surplus of $15.0 billion, or 5.9 percent, to $270.2 billion. As a percentage of U.S. gross domestic product, the goods and services deficit was 3.0 percent in 2018, up from 2.8 percent in 2017.

Exports 

Exports of goods increased $118.5 billion to $1,671.8 billion in 2018. Exports of goods on a Census basis increased $117.8 billion.

  • Industrial supplies and materials increased $74.2 billion. Crude oil increased $24.6 billion. Other petroleum products increased $14.4 billion. Capital goods increased $28.7 billion. Civilian aircraft engines increased $7.9 billion. Other industrial machines increased $2.9 billion. Computer accessories increased $2.5 billion.

Net balance of payments adjustments increased $0.6 billion.

Exports of services increased $30.4 billion to $828.1 billion in 2018.

  • Other business services, which includes research and development services; professional and management services; and technical, trade-related, and other services, increased $8.5 billion. Financial services increased $4.6 billion. Travel (for all purposes including education) increased $4.3 billion.

Imports

Imports of goods increased $202.2 billion to $2,563.1 billion in 2018. Imports of goods on a Census basis increased $200.8 billion.

  • Industrial supplies and materials increased $68.4 billion. Crude oil increased $24.6 billion. Capital goods increased $52.7 billion. Computers increased $8.7 billion. Electric apparatus increased $5.4 billion. Computer accessories increased $5.4 billion. Other industrial machines increased $5.1 billion. Consumer goods increased $46.1 billion. Pharmaceutical preparations increased $23.7 billion. Net balance of payments adjustments increased $1.4 billion. Imports of services increased $15.4 billion to $557.9 billion in 2018. Travel (for all purposes including education) increased $10.1 billion. Other business services increased $7.0 billion. Transport increased $6.5 billion. Insurance services decreased $13.0 billion.

Goods by Selected Countries and Areas – Census Basis

The 2018 figures show surpluses, in billions of dollars, with South and Central America ($41.5), Hong Kong ($31.1), Netherlands ($24.8), Australia ($15.2), and Belgium ($14.2).

Deficits were recorded, in billions of dollars, with China ($419.2), European Union ($169.3), Mexico ($81.5), Germany ($68.3), Japan ($67.6), Ireland ($46.8), Italy ($31.6), Malaysia ($26.5), India ($21.3), OPEC ($21.2), Canada ($19.8), Thailand ($19.3), Switzerland ($18.9), South Korea ($17.9), France ($16.2), Taiwan ($15.5), Russia ($14.1), Indonesia ($12.6), and Saudi Arabia ($10.5).

The deficit with China increased $43.6 billion to $419.2 billion in 2018. Exports decreased $9.6 billion to $120.3 billion and imports increased $34.0 billion to $539.5 billion.

The deficit with the European Union increased $17.9 billion to $169.3 billion in 2018. Exports increased $35.4 billion to $318.6 billion and imports increased $53.3 billion to $487.9 billion.

The surplus with South and Central America increased $7.3 billion to $41.5 billion in 2018. Exports increased $13.6 billion to $163.8 billion and imports increased $6.3 billion to $122.3 billion.

* * * All statistics referenced are seasonally adjusted; statistics are on a balance of payments basis unless otherwise specified. Additional statistics, including not seasonally adjusted statistics and details for goods on a Census basis, are available in exhibits 1-20b of this release. For information on data sources, definitions, and revision procedures, see the explanatory notes in this release.

Source: bea

From The Traders Community News Desk

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