IEA Reverses Oil Demand Forecast On Virus Spread, Says Lower Now in 2020

IEA reversed its outlook on Oil demand on Virus, sees outlook for second half of 2021 cut by 550,000 barrels a day Stockpiles to rebound in 2022 if OPEC+ reverses output cuts

IEA reversed its outlook on Oil demand on Virus, sees outlook for second half of 2021 cut by 550,000 barrels a day Stockpiles to rebound in 2022 if OPEC+ reverses output cuts

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The International Energy Agency cut forecasts for global oil demand “sharply” for the rest of this year as the resurgent pandemic hits major consumers, and predicted a new surplus in 2022.

“Growth for the second half of 2021 has been downgraded more sharply, as new COVID-19 restrictions imposed in several major oil consuming countries, particularly in Asia, look set to reduce mobility and oil use,” the Paris-based IEA said.

“We now estimate that demand fell in July as the rapid spread of the COVID-19 Delta variant undermined deliveries in China, Indonesia and other parts of Asia.” e second half than it had estimated last month, noting some changes were due to revisions in data.

It’s a big reversal for the Paris-based agency, which just a month ago was urging the OPEC+ alliance to open the taps or risk a damaging spike in prices. The oil cartel heeded calls to hike supply, which is now arriving just as consumption slackens  with the delta threats.

Forecasts from the IEA

  • The IEA put the demand slump last month at 120,000 barrels per day (bpd) and predicted growth would be half a million bpd lower
  • Global oil demand is now seen rising 5.3 mb/d on average, to 96.2 mb/d in 2021, and by further 3.2 mb/d in 2022”
  • On average, demand will not recover to pre-pandemic, but it will in Q4 2022

Source: IEA

From The TradersCommunity News Desk.

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