Traders Market Weekly: Reasoning Inflation and Market Authenticity

Viewing 15 posts - 31 through 45 (of 142 total)
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  • #63237
    MoneyNeverSleeps
    Participant

    Eurozone’s July Manufacturing PMI fell to 42.7 from 43.4, as expected, and June Unemployment Rate remained at 6.4% (expected 6.5%).
    Germany’s July Manufacturing PMI fell to 38.8 from 40.6, as expected. July Unemployment decreased by 4,000 (expected 20,000; last 30,000) and July Unemployment Rate dipped to 5.6% from 5.7% (expected 5.7%).
    France’s July Manufacturing PMI fell to 45.1 from 46.0 (expected 44.5).
    Italy’s July Manufacturing PMI rose to 44.5 from 43.8 (expected 44.2) and July Unemployment Rate fell to 7.4% from 7.5% (expected 7.7%).
    Spain’s July Manufacturing PMI fell to 47.8 from 48.0 (expected 48.3).

    U.K.’s July Manufacturing PMI fell to 45.3 from 46.5 (expected 45.0). July Nationwide HPI was down 0.2% m/m, as expected (last 0.1%) and down 3.8% yr/yr, as expected (last -3.5%).

    #63238
    Truman
    Participant

    Equity indices in the Asia-Pacific region ended Tuesday on a mostly lower note.

    Japan’s Nikkei: +0.8%,
    Hong Kong’s Hang Seng: -0.3%,
    China’s Shanghai Composite: UNCH,
    India’s Sensex: -0.1%,
    South Korea’s Kospi: +1.3%,
    Australia’s ASX All Ordinaries: +0.5%.

    #63239
    Truman
    Participant

    Japan’s July Manufacturing PMI 49.6 (expected 49.4; last 49.8). June jobs/applications ratio 1.30 (expected 1.32; last 1.31) and June Unemployment Rate 2.5%, as expected (last 2.6%)

    Japan’s Ministry of Labor is reportedly seeking a record increase to the minimum hourly pay.

    #63240
    Truman
    Participant

    China’s Caixin Manufacturing PMI returned into contractionary territory after expanding slightly for the past two months.
    China’s July Caixin Manufacturing PMI 49.2 (expected 50.3; last 50.5)

    Property names in Hong Kong gave back some of their stimulus-driven gains from last week.
    China’s National Development and Reform Commission noted that the recovery in some consumption categories has been tentative and consumer confidence has been lacking.

    #63241
    Truman
    Participant

    South Korea’s July Manufacturing PMI 49.4 (expected 48.1; last 47.8).
    July trade surplus $1.63 bln (expected surplus of $3.03 bln; last surplus of $1.13 bln).
    July Imports -25.4% yr/yr (expected -24.6%; last -11.7%)
    Exports -16.5% yr/yr (expected -14.5%; last -6.0%)

    #63242
    Truman
    Participant

    India’s July Manufacturing PMI 57.7 (expected 57.0; last 57.8)

    #63243
    Truman
    Participant

    Hong Kong’s June Retail Sales 19.6% yr/yr (expected 26.7%; last 18.4%)

    Property names in Hong Kong gave back some of their stimulus-driven gains from last week..

    #63244
    Truman
    Participant

    Australia’s June Building Approvals -7.7% m/m (expected -7.0%; last 20.5%).
    June Home Loans -2.8% m/m (expected 1.7%; last 5.1%)
    Private House Approvals -1.3% m/m (last 0.9%).
    July Commodity Prices -23.5% yr/yr (expected -19.0%; last -21.5%)
    July Manufacturing PMI 49.6 (expected 49.4; last 49.8)
    The Reserve Bank of Australia left its cash rate at 4.10% against expectations for a 25-bps increase.

    New Zealand’s June Building Consents 3.5% m/m (expected 0.3%; last -2.3%)

    #63245
    Truman
    Participant
    #63246
    Truman
    Participant

    Major European indices trade in the red.

    STOXX Europe 600: -0.6%,
    Germany’s DAX: -0.9%,
    U.K.’s FTSE 100: -0.2%,
    France’s CAC 40: -0.9%,
    Italy’s FTSE MIB: -0.9%,
    Spain’s IBEX 35: -0.8%.
    I

    #63247
    Truman
    Participant

    House prices in the U.K. fell at their fastest yr/yr pace in nearly 14 years in July.

    BMW missed margin expectations for Q2 but raised its outlook for the year.

    BP saw a sharp drop in Q2 profit, but still raised its dividend by 10%.

    Final July Manufacturing PMI readings from Germany, France, U.K., Spain, and Italy remained in contractionary territory.

    #63248
    Truman
    Participant

    Merck (MRK 108.45, +1.80, +1.7%): beats by $0.12, beats on revs; guides FY23 EPS above consensus, raises revs in-line
    Caterpillar (CAT 269.20, +4.03, +1.5%): beats by $0.98, beats on revs
    BP (BP 37.70, +0.40, +1.1%): misses by $0.26; misses on revs; raises dividend; increases share repurchase program
    Uber (UBER 51.37, +1.91, +3.9%): beats by $0.19, misses on revs
    CVS (CVS 74.50, -0.19, -0.3%): aiming to eliminate 5000 jobs, according to WSJ
    Pfizer (PFE 35.73, -0.33, -0.9%): beats by $0.10, misses on revs; reaffirms FY23 EPS guidance; slightly lowered top end of FY23 rev guidance
    ZoomInfo (ZI 20.46, -5.11, -20.0%): beats by $0.03, reports revs in-line; guides Q3 EPS in-line, revs below consensus; guides FY23 EPS in-line, revs below consensus, also announces $500 mln share repurchase authorization; downgraded to Hold from Buy at Deutsche Bank
    Western Digital (WDC 41.50, -1.06, -2.5%): beats by $0.04, beats on revs; guides SepQ EPS below consensus, revs below consensus; Flash market dynamics are improving as inventories normalize and price declines moderate
    Stanley Black & Decker (SWK 100.50, +1.23, +1.2%): beats by $0.25, beats on revs; guides FY23 EPS in-line
    SBA Comm (SBAC 223.61, +4.66, +2.1%): beats by $0.09, reports revs in-line; raises FY23 FFO above consensus, raises revs in-line; declares dividend
    JetBlue Airways (JBLU 7.30, -0.47, -6.1%): beats by $0.01, reports revs in-line; guides Q3 EPS below consensus; guides FY23 EPS below consensus
    Eaton (ETN 210.29, +4.97, +2.4%): beats by $0.10, beats on revs; guides Q3 EPS above consensus; raises FY23 EPS above consensus
    Norwegian Cruise Line (NCLH 20.48, -1.58, -7.5%): beats by $0.04, beats on revs; guides Q3 EPS below consensus; guides FY23 EPS in-line

    #63249

    ^^^ +1s for excellent analysis … the BULLS keep running up the score
    as 2023 1st HALF has been great for equities … However many issues loom large

    1. Will OIL continue to go higher & increase INFLATION (avg GAS = $3.75)
    2. FOMC still has PUNCHBOWL in hand (so no decrease in rates ahead)
    3. will MAIN STREET still stay strong in consumer spending
    4. Will ICARUS fly too high & those golden wings of wax melt – lol

    #63250
    TradersCom
    Keymaster

    Early Morning:

    Dow +3.43 at 35562.87, Nasdaq -61.24 at 14285.18, S&P -13.67 at 4576.56

    10yr +9bps to 4.04% 2yr +5bps to 4.90%
    USD higher across board
    10 of 11 S&P 500 sectors down. Losses range -0.1% (utilities) to -1.4% (energy). Information technology flat
    DJIA green with Caterpillar $CAT 284.30, +19.30, +7.2% & Merck $MRK 107.53, +0.88, +0.8%

    #63252

    Dow 35,630.68 71.15 0.20%
    S&P 500 4,576.73 -12.23 -0.27%
    Nasdaq 14,283.91 -62.11 -0.43%
    VIX 13.93 0.30 2.20%
    Gold 1,981.50 -27.70 -1.38%
    Oil 82.20 0.40 0.49%

    Awesome version of “The Cure” original song 🙂

Viewing 15 posts - 31 through 45 (of 142 total)
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