Traders Market Weekly: Debt Ceilings and The Consumer

Viewing 15 posts - 1 through 15 (of 85 total)
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  • #58149
    Truman
    Participant

    Havea great week all – so many crazy things – great report as always this week – thank you!

    #58150
    Truman
    Participant

    Equity indices in the Asia-Pacific region began the week on a mostly higher note.

    -Equity Markets—

    Japan’s Nikkei: -0.7%
    Hong Kong’s Hang Seng: +1.2%
    China’s Shanghai Composite: +1.8%
    India’s Sensex: +1.2%
    South Korea’s Kospi: +0.5%
    Australia’s ASX All Ordinaries: +0.8%

    #58151
    Truman
    Participant

    China’s Agriculture Ministry is taking steps to stabilize this year’s grain supply.

    China’s April FX Reserves $3.205 trln (expected $3.192 trln; last $3.184 trln)

    #58152
    Truman
    Participant

    Japan’s Services PMI remained in expansionary territory for the seventh month in a row in the April reading.
    Japan’s April Services PMI 55.4 (expected 54.9; last 55.0)

    Japan’s Prime Minister Kishida met with South Korea’s President Yoon.

    #58153
    Truman
    Participant

    Leaders from China, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan, and Uzbekistan will take part in the Central Asia summit at the end of next week.

    #58154
    Truman
    Participant

    Australia’s March Building Approvals -0.1% m/m (expected 3.0%; last 3.9%)
    April NAB Business Confidence 0, as expected (last -1). April NAB Business Survey 14 (expected 9; last 16)

    #58155
    Truman
    Participant

    Major European indices trade in the green while the U.K.’s FTSE is closed for a bank holiday.

    —Equity Markets—

    STOXX Europe 600: +0.4%
    Germany’s DAX: +0.2%
    U.K.’s FTSE 100: CLOSED
    France’s CAC 40: +0.3%
    Italy’s FTSE MIB: +0.4%
    Spain’s IBEX 35: +0.8%

    #58156
    Truman
    Participant

    European Central Bank policymaker Knot said that rate hikes have started to have an effect, but more increases will be needed to contain inflation. He added that the 2.0% inflation goal could be reached in 2025.

    Fitch lowered the long-term rating of the European Financial Stability Facility to AA- from AA. The Italian Treasury may reduce its stake in BMPS.

    Eurozone’s May Sentix Investor Confidence -13.1 (expected -8.0; last -8.7)

    Germany’s March Industrial Production -3.4% m/m (expected -1.3%; last 2.1%); 1.6% yr/yr (expected -0.5%; last 0.8%)

    #58158
    Truman
    Participant

    Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen warned of “economic chaos” if the debt ceiling is not raised, according to CNBC. This comes ahead of President Biden’s meeting with House Speaker McCarthy and other Congressional leaders on May 9.

    #58159
    Truman
    Participant

    The S&P 500 futures are up 7 points and are trading 0.2% above fair value.
    The Nasdaq 100 futures are down 6 points and are trading slightly fair value.
    The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are up 78 points and are trading 0.2% above fair value.

    Market waiting to see if there will be any follow through on Friday’s rally. This week also brings another batch of potentially market-moving events. Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey will be released today, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) on Wednesday, and the Producer Price Index (PPI) on Thursday.

    The 2-yr note yield is up five basis points to 3.96% and the 10-yr note yield is up three basis points to 3.46%.

    Oil prices are sharply higher, up 2.8% to $73.32/bbl.

    #58160
    Truman
    Participant

    PacWest (PACW 7.95, +2.19, +37.9%) and Western Alliance (WAL 30.27, +3.05, +11.2%): continued rally effort in regional bank stocks after big gains on Friday; separately, PacWest announced a cut in its dividend to $0.01 per share from $0.25

    #58161
    Truman
    Participant

    Alcoa (AA 36.95, +0.80, +2.2%): JPMorgan initiated coverage with an Overweight rating
    Pentair (PNR 59.00, +1.13, +2.0%): upgraded to Buy from Neutral at UBS
    American Airlines (AAL 14.31, +0.44, +3.2%): upgraded to Overweight from Neutral at JPMorgan

    #58162
    Truman
    Participant

    Spectrum Brands (SPB 76.97, +6.60, +9.4%): SPB and the DOJ reach a settlement regarding the HHI Acquisition

    Baxter (BAX 46.21, +0.16, +0.4%): Private equity firms are interested in BAX’s biopharma unit, according to Reuters

    Estee Lauder (EL 211.06, +7.52, +3.7%): Nelson Peltz mulling shakeup at Estee Lauder, according to NY Post

    Occidental Petroleum (OXY 60.35, -0.29, -0.5%): Warren Buffett says he will not take full control of Occidental, according to CNBC

    #58163
    Truman
    Participant

    Catalent (CTLT 38.10, -9.65, -20.2%): delays third quarter results and conference call; expects to significantly reduce both its fiscal 2023 net revenue and Adjusted EBITDA guidance by more than $400 million each

    #58164
    Truman
    Participant

    Tyson Foods (TSN 55.69, -5.00, -8.2%): misses by $0.84, misses on revs

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