Traders Market Weekly: The Meaning of Market Volatility (or Lack of) Risk

Viewing 15 posts - 31 through 45 (of 86 total)
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  • #56993
    Truman
    Participant

    NVIDIA (NVDA 276.75, +6.73, +2.5%): HSBC upgraded to Buy from Reduce

    #56994
    Truman
    Participant

    Total housing starts might have declined 0.8% month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 1.420 million (consensus 1.407 million), but that was due to a decline in multi-unit starts. Single-unit starts were up 2.7% month-over-month to 861,000.

    Building permits, meanwhile, declined 8.8% month-over-month, driven by a 24.3% decline in permits for 5 units or more, whereas single-family permits increased 4.1% month-over-month to 818,000.

    The key takeaway from the report is the growth seen in single-family starts and single-family permits — a leading indicator — which is needed given the limited supply of existing homes for sale.

    #56995
    Truman
    Participant

    Treasury yields moved higher after the data release.

    The 2-yr note yield, at 4.18% shortly before 8:30 a.m. ET, is up three basis points to 4.21%.
    The 10-yr note yield, at 3.57% before 8:30 a.m. ET, is up one basis point to 3.60%.

    #56996
    Truman
    Participant

    The S&P 500 futures are up 17 points and are trading 0.5% above fair value.
    The Nasdaq 100 futures are up 97 points and are trading 0.8% above fair value.
    The Dow Jones Industrial Average futures are up 16 points and are trading slightly above fair value.

    #56997
    MoneyNeverSleeps
    Participant

    Yields after Housing starts:

    2-yr: +2 bps to 4.20%
    3-yr: +2 bps to 3.93%
    5-yr: +1 bp to 3.70%
    10-yr: UNCH at 3.59%
    30-yr: UNCH at 3.81%

    #57003

    Dow 33,976.63 -10.55 -0.03%
    S&P 500 4,154.87 3.55 0.09%
    Nasdaq 12,153.41 -4.31 -0.04%
    VIX 16.83 -0.12 -0.71%
    Gold 2,017.40 10.40 0.52%
    Oil 80.90 0.07 0.09%

    #57014
    TradersCom
    Keymaster

    CDW (CDW) guides Q1 net sales below consensus due to more cautious buying; expects US IT market to decline at a high single-digit rate in 2023… CDW down 9.1%

    Fulton Fincl (FULT) misses by $0.09, misses on revs… FULT down 1.7%

    Interactive Brokers (IBKR) misses by $0.06, reports revs in-line… IBKR down 3.4%

    Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) beats by $0.03, beats on revs; worldwide da Vinci procedures grew by approximately 26%; increases FY23 procedure growth to +18-21% yr/yr from +12-16%… ISRG up 9.0%

    Marten Transport (MRTN) beats by $0.01, misses on revs… MRTN down 6.2%

    Netflix (NFLX) beats by $0.01, reports revs in-line; guides Q2 EPS below consensus, revs below consensus as co shifts timing for paid sharing broad launch from late Q1 to Q2… NFLX down 0.5%

    Omnicom (OMC) beats by $0.16, beats on revs… OMC up 1.4%

    Regions Fincl (RF) in annual shareholder meeting slides: liquidity position is stable; Q1 deposit flows largely in-line with expectations for balance normalization; March ending balances approximately flat with levels in early March… RF up 1.4%

    United Airlines (UAL) beats by $0.10, reports revs in-line; guides Q2 EPS in-line; reaffirms FY23 EPS target… UAL up 2.1%

    United Comm Banks (UCBI) misses by $0.11, misses on revs… UCBI down 5.1%

    Western Alliance Bancorp (WAL) beats by $0.27, net interest income increased 35.7% yr/yr… WAL up 16.0%

    #57015
    TradersCom
    Keymaster

    Fair Value for Wednesday, April 19:

    S&P 500: 4,180
    Nasdaq 100: 13,184
    DJIA: 34,121

    #57016
    TradersCom
    Keymaster

    Fox Corporation (FOX) confirms that a settlement was reached in the Dominion Voting Systems lawsuit…

    FOX down 0.1%

    #57037
    Truman
    Participant

    Equity indices in the Asia-Pacific region ended the midweek session on a mostly lower note.

    —Equity Markets—

    Japan’s Nikkei: -0.2%
    Hong Kong’s Hang Seng: -1.4%
    China’s Shanghai Composite: -0.7%
    India’s Sensex: -0.3%
    South Korea’s Kospi: +0.2%
    Australia’s ASX All Ordinaries: +0.1%

    #57038
    Truman
    Participant

    The Bank of Japan is expected to hold off on changes to its yield curve control policy past next week’s meeting. The central bank is expected to issue a forecast calling for 2.0% inflation in FY25.

    Japan’s February Industrial Production 4.6% m/m (expected 4.5%; last -5.3%) and Capacity Utilization 3.9% m/m (expected 4.0%; last -5.5%). April Reuters Tankan Index -3 (expected -1; last -1)

    #57039
    Truman
    Participant

    Australia’s March Leading Index 0.0% m/m (expected -0.1%; last -0.1%)

    #57040
    Truman
    Participant

    Treasury Secretary Yellen is expected to comment on the relationship with China during a speech on Thursday.

    #57041
    Truman
    Participant

    Major European indices trade near their flat lines.

    —Equity Markets—

    STOXX Europe 600: -0.3%
    Germany’s DAX: -0.1%
    U.K.’s FTSE 100: -0.2%
    France’s CAC 40: UNCH
    Italy’s FTSE MIB: +0.2%
    Spain’s IBEX 35: +0.3%

    #57042
    Truman
    Participant

    Expectations are solidifying for a 25-bps rate hike from the Bank of England on May 11.

    Ambulance workers in the U.K. are planning another strike for next month while rail workers in Germany will hold a nationwide strike on Friday.

    U.K.’s March CPI 0.8% m/m (expected 0.5%; last 1.1%); 10.1% yr/yr (expected 9.8%; last 10.4%).
    March Core CPI 0.9% m/m (expected 0.6%; last 1.2%); 6.2% yr/yr (expected 6.0%; last 6.2%).
    March Input PPI 0.2% m/m (expected -0.3%; last 0.0%)
    Output PPI 0.1% m/m (expected -0.1%; last -0.4%)

Viewing 15 posts - 31 through 45 (of 86 total)
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