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Eric HolthausVerified account @EricHolthaus
Latest (06Z) HWRF, one of the best models we have, shows #Harvey as a major hurricane in about 36 hours.
^^^ and please be safe in days ahead …. our local weather has HARVEY marching thru VIRGINIA middle of next week … and it will be cooler & fall like as A3 shared (maybe upper 40F’s)
Updated #Harvey track with U.S. refineries. 8 in immediate path, ~30 or so total in possible cone/impact. via Patrick DeHaan ⛽️Verified account @GasBuddyGuy
NOAA & Accuweather just went CAT3 potential
[color=purple]FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
[/color][b]INIT 24/1500Z 24.0N 93.3W 55 KT 65 MPH
12H 25/0000Z 24.9N 94.2W 70 KT 80 MPH
24H 25/1200Z 26.0N 95.3W 90 KT 105 MPH
[color=red] 36H 26/0000Z 27.3N 96.3W 100 KT 115 MPH
48H 26/1200Z 28.3N 97.0W 95 KT 110 MPH…INLAND[/color]
72H 27/1200Z 29.0N 97.7W 40 KT 45 MPH…INLAND
96H 28/1200Z 28.5N 97.5W 35 KT 40 MPH…INLAND
120H 29/1200Z 28.5N 96.5W 30 KT 35 MPH…INLAND[/b]http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDAT4+shtml/241455.shtml
[b]The “FAKE NEWS” even noted potential for CAT 4 in a radio news report — but that is likely hyperbole … the latest at around 5pm does show further unexpected strengthening & calls for 125mph (strong CAT 3 at coast) … sometimes overnight the fuel (water) can cool off some & that helps in containing storm …
the main BAD NEWS of storm is there are no nearby fronts in USA to sheer or steer this — so these predictions do need to be taken seriously … I shared those concerns to be safe with a few co-worker friends in our Dallas/Houston offices — as it’s definitely coming.[/b]
[color=red][size=4]HARVEY nears CAT 3 … 6am CDT — 110 mph
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/#Harvey%5B/size%5D%5B/color%5D
Wishing you the utmost safety … may the good folks & critters in TEXAS have safekeeping over next few days 🙂
[size=5]in my own studies of meteorology .. the barometric pressure is key thing to watch hourly changes on to determine strengthening or weakening … Any thing below 1,000mb is a major hurricane … and some of the world record CAT 5 storms have gone even below 900 … Harvey is very slowly strengthening with heating of day as follows … This almost looks like a 2017 version of Allison …
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/#Harvey
EDT times 6am=950mb 10am=948mb 11am=947mb[/size]
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