Central Bank Watch – Week Ahead Focus on ECB, PBOC and Inflation

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  • #65083
    TradersCom
    Keymaster

    Bank of Japan policymaker Takata said that there are early signs of the 2.0% inflation target being reached, but easy policy stance should be maintained at this time.

    #65084
    TradersCom
    Keymaster

    European Central Bank policymaker Knot said that markets may be underestimating the likelihood of a rate hike at the September meeting, adding that the decision could be a “close call.”

    Separately, policymaker Villeroy de Galhau said that while the economy is slowing down, there is still no recession on the horizon and lowering inflation should remain the priority.

    #65098
    Helmholtz Watson
    Participant

    Fed’s Susan Collins

    Fed should ‘allow time’ when making monetary policy choices
    Too soon to say inflation sustainably moving back back to target
    Fed must balance lowering inflation against slowing economy too much
    Fed can likely achieve goals without causing notable economic pain
    Still too much job market demand
    Wage growth remains elevated
    Core services inflation moderation has been modest
    Expects economy to slow into end of year
    This context calls for a patient and careful, but deliberate, approach to policy,

    The Nov 1 meeting is showing a 40% chance of a hike.

    The risk of inflation staying higher for longer must now be weighed against the risk that an overly restrictive stance of monetary policy will lead to a greater slowdown in activity than is needed to restore price stability. This context calls for a patient and careful, but deliberate, approach to policy, allowing time to assess the effects of policy actions to date, and then acting appropriately. Importantly, patience does not mean indecision, or a change in the commitment to the 2 percent target, but rather time to ensure that the economy is on a clear trajectory to achieve price stability.

    #65017
    Helmholtz Watson
    Participant

    In the past week we had Bank of Canada, Reserve Bank of Australia and Bank Negara as expected stayed pat. Banco Central de Chile and Poland as expecte
    [See the full post at: Central Bank Watch – Week Ahead Focus on ECB, PBOC and Inflation]

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