Market Weekly: July 24-28-2017


UK CBI Business Optimism Jul: 5 (est 0; prev 1)
UK CBI Trends Total Orders Jul: 10 (est 12; prev 16)

Production among UK manufacturers grew at the fastest pace since January 1995 in the three months to July, according to the latest quarterly CBI Industrial Trends SurveyCBI Industrial Trends Survey.

“It’s great to see the benefits from the decline in sterling for UK exporters feeding through. But the flipside is the broader hit to consumer spending power across the economy from stronger inflation, which is likely to have fuelled the slowdown in the economy in Q1 and is expected to pull down growth in Q2.”

[spoiler=Key findings]
18% of firms said they were more optimistic about the general business situation than three months ago and 13% were less optimistic, giving a balance of +5%. Optimism about export prospects for the year ahead grew (+13%) at a solid pace

43% of firms said the volume of output over the past three months was up and 12% said it was down, giving a balance of +31%, the highest since January 1995 (+33%)

35% of businesses reported an increase in total orders, and 21% a decrease, giving a balance of +14%

Domestic orders (+19%), expanded at a broadly similar pace to the previous quarter, with export orders growth remaining strong, despite slowing (+17%)

32% of manufacturers said employee numbers were up, and 13% said they were down, giving a rounded balance of +18% – the highest since July 2014 (+26%)

Average unit costs grew at a more subdued pace (+20%). Growth in average domestic prices (+21%) and average export prices (+24%) was broadly unchanged

Stock building of raw materials (+20%) was the strongest since April 1977 (+22%), whilst stocks of work-in-progress rose (+16%).