Federal Reserve Hike Interest Rates 25 Basis Points As expected

No surprises from the Federal Reserve Wednesday the FOMC Raised Interest Rates 25 bp as expected to the 1.25%-1.50% range and announced the taper continuance. The Fed  began to unwind the $4.5 trillion balance sheet in October.

No surprises from the Federal Reserve Wednesday the FOMC Raised Interest Rates 25 bp as expected to the 1.25% -1.50% range and announced the taper continuance. The Fed  began to unwind the $4.5 trillion balance sheet in October.

Fed Boardroom

The Fed’s Dot plot forecasts had forecast one more hike in 2017, three more in 2018 as per the last meeting.

Highlights

  • Rise to 1.25% to 1.50% Prior 1.00% to 1.25%
  • Note that markets nearly unanimous in pricing in a 25 basis point cut
  • Evans and Kashkari dissented with vote 7-2
  • Fed sees faster growth trajectory and faster decline in jobless rate in projections
  • Fed sees economic activity and job gains as solid
  • Inflation has declined this year but still expects it to reach 2% target over medium term

Fed Projections Dec

 

December 13, 2017

Federal Reserve issues FOMC statement

For release at 2:00 p.m. EST

Information received since the Federal Open Market Committee met in November indicates that the labor market has continued to strengthen and that economic activity has been rising at a solid rate. Averaging through hurricane-related fluctuations, job gains have been solid, and the unemployment rate declined further. Household spending has been expanding at a moderate rate, and growth in business fixed investment has picked up in recent quarters. On a 12-month basis, both overall inflation and inflation for items other than food and energy have declined this year and are running below 2 percent. Market-based measures of inflation compensation remain low; survey-based measures of longer-term inflation expectations are little changed, on balance.

Consistent with its statutory mandate, the Committee seeks to foster maximum employment and price stability. Hurricane-related disruptions and rebuilding have affected economic activity, employment, and inflation in recent months but have not materially altered the outlook for the national economy. Consequently, the Committee continues to expect that, with gradual adjustments in the stance of monetary policy, economic activity will expand at a moderate pace and labor market conditions will remain strong. Inflation on a 12‑month basis is expected to remain somewhat below 2 percent in the near term but to stabilize around the Committee’s 2 percent objective over the medium term. Near-term risks to the economic outlook appear roughly balanced, but the Committee is monitoring inflation developments closely.

In view of realized and expected labor market conditions and inflation, the Committee decided to raise the target range for the federal funds rate to 1-1/4 to 1‑1/2 percent. The stance of monetary policy remains accommodative, thereby supporting strong labor market conditions and a sustained return to 2 percent inflation.

In determining the timing and size of future adjustments to the target range for the federal funds rate, the Committee will assess realized and expected economic conditions relative to its objectives of maximum employment and 2 percent inflation. This assessment will take into account a wide range of information, including measures of labor market conditions, indicators of inflation pressures and inflation expectations, and readings on financial and international developments. The Committee will carefully monitor actual and expected inflation developments relative to its symmetric inflation goal. The Committee expects that economic conditions will evolve in a manner that will warrant gradual increases in the federal funds rate; the federal funds rate is likely to remain, for some time, below levels that are expected to prevail in the longer run. However, the actual path of the federal funds rate will depend on the economic outlook as informed by incoming data.

Voting for the FOMC monetary policy action were Janet L. Yellen, Chair; William C. Dudley, Vice Chairman; Lael Brainard; Patrick Harker; Robert S. Kaplan; Jerome H. Powell; and Randal K. Quarles. Voting against the action were Charles L. Evans and Neel Kashkari, who preferred at this meeting to maintain the existing target range for the federal funds rate.

Implementation Note issued December 13, 2017

Next Up: Janet Yellen’s press conference usually gets underway at 2:30 pm ET.

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