Dismal U.S. 20-year Treasury Bond Auction as US 30 Year Fixed Mortgage Rate Hits 20 Year High 7.22%

U.S. Treasuries sold off, lifting lifted yields on all tenors to fresh highs for the year after the completion of a dismal $12 billion 20-year Treasury bond reopening, which was met with lukewarm demand. The high yield tailed the when-issued yield by 2.5 bps with the bid-to-cover ratio 2.50x. The desk gave an F rating on the auction. The US 30-year fixed mortgage rate hits a 20 year high of 7.22% today on the surge in the 10-year yield. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 are near the low for the week ahead of the Fed Beige Book.

Today’s $12 bln 20-yr bond -1.2 basis point indicative of strong international demand and soft. The desk gave an B rating on the auction.

  • The domestic demand was below its six-month average indicative of softer domestic demand
  • International demand (indirect) was also comfortably above the six-month average
  • Primary dealers were left with just over than 10% versus normal around 14.3%

Auction Highlights

  • Duration: 20 Years
  • Amount:  $12 billion
  • High yield 4.395%
  • WI 4.370%
  • Tail +2.5 basis points vs. six-month average of -1.3 basis points
  • Bid to cover 2.50X vs. six-month average of 2.69X
  • Directs 19.86% vs. six-month average of 18.5%
  • Indirects 63.7% vs six-month average is 72.2%
  • Dealers 16.43% vs six-month average of 9.3%

Auction grade: F

Yields after the auction

  • 2-yr: +11 bps to 4.55%
  • 3-yr: +13 bps to 4.56%
  • 5-yr: +13 bps to 4.34%
  • 10-yr: +12 bps to 4.12%
  • 30-yr: +10 bps to 4.12%

Prior auction results:

  • High yield: 3.820%
  • Bid-to-cover: 2.65
  • Indirect bid: 75.3%
  • Direct bid: 16.6%

Average results of previous 12 auctions:

  • High yield: 2.750%
  • Bid-to-cover: 2.50
  • Indirect bid: 68.1%
  • Direct bid: 17.8%

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From The TradersCommunity US News Desk