Dismal 10-year U.S. Treasury Bond Auction Following Mid Term Elections

US Treasury yields on the 10-yr note and the 30-yr bond are back at their highest levels of the day after the 10-Year Bond Sale performed worse than expected ahead of tomorrow’s CPI number release. The auction garnered a F rating across the Fixed Interest desk after the high yield tailed the when-issued yield by 3.4 bps. The bid-to-cover ratio (2.23x) and indirect takedown (57.5%) were well below average. The reopening follows strong demand in yesterday’s 40 billion 3-yr note auction and it sets the stage for an $18 bln 30-yr bond reopening tomorrow. Equities are treading water after the midterm election and the cryptocurrency collapse.

The bid to cover 2.23X vs. six-month average of 2.41X, indirect takedown 57.5 percent vs. the six-month average of 64.8%. The desk gave a F rating on the auction.

Auction Highlights

  • Duration: 10 Years
  • Amount:  $35 billion
  • High yield: 4.14%
  • When-Issued level at the time of the auction 4.106%
  • Tail 3.4 basis points vs. six-month average of 1.3 basis points
  • Bid to cover 2.23X vs. the six-month average of 2.41X
  • Directs 18.1% vs. six-month average of 18.8%
  • Indirects 57.5% vs. six-month average of 64.8%
  • Dealers 24 4% vs. the six-month average of 16.4%

Auction grade: F

Yields after the auction

  • 2-yr: UNCH at 4.66%
  • 3-yr: -2 bps to 4.55%
  • 5-yr: -1 bp to 4.30%
  • 10-yr: +4 bps to 4.16%
  • 30-yr: +6 bps to 4.32%

Average results of previous 12 auctions:

  • High yield: 2.515%
  • Bid-to-cover: 2.45
  • Indirect bid: 67.0%
  • Direct bid: 17.7%

Prior auction results:

  • High yield: 3.930%
  • Bid-to-cover: 2.34
  • Indirect bid: 56.8%
  • Direct bid: 23.5%
  • Directs a measure of domestic demand
  • Indirects a measure of international demand
  • Dealers take the balance

Live From the Pit

From The TradersCommunity US News Desk