S&P 500 Mid-Year Review and Outlook for the Year Ahead (Includes AAPL NVDA XOM)

The Blue-Chip S&P 500 index shook off recession fears and a U.S. regional banking crisis to gain 15.9% in the first half. The Nasdaq Composite for its part gained 31.7% for its biggest first-half increase in four decades. Much of the rise was from climbing the wall of worry as shorting became costly with the Cboe Volatility Index hit its lowest level since early 2020. Interesting with all the headlines that the huge advance in the stock markets is being … Continue reading “S&P 500 Mid-Year Review and Outlook for the Year Ahead (Includes AAPL NVDA XOM)”

Five Factors in a Constructive Strategy for Investing in Commodities

Investing in commodities is something that needs to be done within a constructive strategy to understands risks and opportunity. There are many factors to consider individually depending on one’s access, location and financial position. Five factors to consider are monitoring the market, monitoring supply and demand dynamics, diversification, long-term focus and dollar cost averaging. Constructive Strategy Investing in Commodities Could Include: 1. Monitoring the market: Stay up to date on the latest market developments and adjust your investment strategy as … Continue reading “Five Factors in a Constructive Strategy for Investing in Commodities”

How Fibonacci Analysis Can Help Improve Your Trading

Fibonacci analysis is a powerful tool that can help traders identify potential support and resistance levels in the market. By studying the relationships between Fibonacci retracements, Fibonacci extensions, and Fibonacci time zones, traders can gain valuable insight into the possible direction of the market. Fibonacci analysis can also be used to identify potential entry and exit points and identify trends in the market. This type of analysis can be used by traders to improve their trading performance and develop a … Continue reading “How Fibonacci Analysis Can Help Improve Your Trading”

Santa Clause Stock Market Rally and Window Dressing

Talking heads and brokers love to spout off about the Santa Claus rally at the end of each year. The Santa Claus rally is a term used to describe a phenomenon in which stock prices tend to rise in the last five days of the year, as well as the first two trading days of the new year. It was first defined in ‘The 1972 Stock Trader’s Almanac’ by Yale Hirsch. It is believed that this phenomenon is caused by … Continue reading “Santa Clause Stock Market Rally and Window Dressing”

What You Need Know About Quantitative Tightening QT Bifurcations Explained

Most of us are familiar with QE but what is QT? When the Fed reduces its balance sheet it is known as quantitative tightening, the flipside of quantitative easing. The US Federal Reserve at its December FOMC put the world on notice that tighter financial conditions are ahead. What does it mean? The possible Bifurcations would make Mandelbrot wince. Firstly, the bond market has a lot more work as the task of financing governments gets more difficult without central banks … Continue reading “What You Need Know About Quantitative Tightening QT Bifurcations Explained”

Analyzing Apple’s Ascent To All-Time Highs

We go through “That Apple Trade”. Apple has gone from $150 to $180 in very quick time. $AAPL is just 2% shy of a $3 trillion company with 30% in a matter of weeks. The trade had set up perfectly, a perfect storm of both the KnovaWave methodology and the crowd psychology buttons coupled with our Option Delta and Gamma levels around key targets. We walk through the different aspects of this trade in this week’s podcast. Enjoy commentary from … Continue reading “Analyzing Apple’s Ascent To All-Time Highs”

S&P 500 Futures Set Up Ahead of New Record Highs

A quick live recap of how the S&P 500 reacted after the US CPI report, the correction in clinical fashion to major support in a textbook ABC. With both crowd psychology, technical analysis reviewed with possible outcomes into the afternoon. The S&P and Apple would go on to hit all time highs by the close. Enjoy live commentary from Our Trading Room at youtube as the day wraps up – feel free to like and share Largest Increase in US … Continue reading “S&P 500 Futures Set Up Ahead of New Record Highs”

The DIX Dark Index As a Proxy For Buying Activity Opportunities.

The Dark Index™ (DIX™) is a dollar-weighted measure of the Dark Pool Indicator (DPI) of the S&P 500 components. When the DIX is higher, market sentiment in dark pools is generally more bullish. When the DIX is lower, it is more bearish or uncertain. The 2 year DIX is used as an indicator of dark pool short volumes as a proxy for buying activity opportunities. In the violent sell off and reversal of the first week of December (2021) note … Continue reading “The DIX Dark Index As a Proxy For Buying Activity Opportunities.”