U.S. Oil Rigs Fall 5 in Permian and 4 in Eagle Ford to End March Quarter

U.S. oil rigs in service fell 8 this week with U.S.oil production is back at the all time high of 12.10 million bpd. US Natural gas rigs fell 2. Oil rigs fell another 14 in Canada and Canadian natural gas rigs fell 3 with the freezing weather.

U.S. oil rigs in service fell 8 this week with U.S.oil production is back at the all time high of 12.10 million bpd. US Natural gas rigs fell 2. Oil rigs fell another 14 in Canada and Canadian natural gas rigs fell 3 with the freezing weather.

Shale Basins EIA

Total North America rig count Fell 27 to 1094 down 33 year on year

Canada oil rigs fell 14 to 35 in the past week General Electric Co’s Baker Hughes reported.

General Electric Co’s Baker Hughes reported:

United States

  • Oil rigs fell 8 to 816 (888 Cycle High)
  • Natural gas rigs fell 2 to 190

Canada

  • Oil rigs fell 14 to 35
  • Natural gas rigs fell 3 to 53

U.S. oil and gas production continues to rise or sit near all time highs underscoring the efficiency of the drilling rigs. We saw rigs rise per companies plans at their last earnings guidance, with oil prices high based on historical relationship with WTI prices, the move is likely to gain traction in the short term

 BHI 3 29 19

Shale production has been lifted by the smaller niche producer and majors like ExxonMobil. Last year Exxon CEO Darren Woods said $XOM is diverting about one-third of its drilling budget this year to shale fields that will deliver cash flow in as little as three years. The Texas Permian basin is the epicenter of activity. Since CERAWeek in Houston last year added to the drilling positive tone and appears we haven’t looked back.    

 BHI 3 29 19 Basins

OPEC March 2019 MOMR on US Rig Counts

 OPEC Mar US Rig Count and WTI

US Rig Count Bottomed at 316 May 2016

Since a six-year low of 316 in May 2016 drillers added over 175% with the rise in oil prices and record oil and gas production. The total oil and natural gas rig count ended 2016 at 658, down 6 percent from the 698 at the finish of 2015. From their we have continued to cycle highs in late 2018. Baker Hughes North American Rig Summary

In early May analysts at Simmons & Co, the energy unit at U.S. investment bank Piper Jaffray, raised their forecast for the average total oil and natural gas rig count to 1,020 in 2018 and 1,135 in 2019, up from an earlier projection of 1,015 in 2018 and 1,130 in 2019. This pace forecasts the highest rig count since 2014 when it averaged 1,862 rigs. 

Plainly stated  the shale industry is responsible for 100% of the growth.

There are seven main shale oil producing regions in the US. Two of the biggest are Eagle Ford and the Permian Basin. Both of them are in Texas with the latter stretching over to New Mexico. These two are responsible for two-third of the country’s shale output and 45% of the total US production. 

Between March 2015 and December 2016 total US shale production fell more than 800,000 bpd as the industry struggled with the aftermath of the 2014-2016 oil price sell-off. In this period output from the Permian Basin kept going higher relentlessly and rose from 1.89 mbd in March 2015 to 2.12 mbpd 21 months later.

Eagle Ford it is the rate of growth that is very impressive. The production of 54,000 bpd in 2007 jumped almost twenty-fivefold to 1.34 mbpd this year on average. The first signs of contraction from these two regions will serve us with a warning signal that the shale peak might be approaching. Latest data, however, suggests that this danger is far away from being imminent. – PVM

US Field Oil Production ATH 12.10mbpd via RonH @ronh999  Mar 27 2019

 

Baker Hughes International Rig Count: via OILytics ‏ @OilyticsData

Baker Hughes International Rig Count: Feb-19 data shows international rigs up +10 m-o-m and +66 y-o-y. All regions showing yearly growth with the exception of Latin America

Source: Baker Hughes, TradersCommunity, OPEC

From The TradersCommunity News Desk

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