WHO Names New COVID Variant of Concern ‘Omicron’

The World Health Organization (WHO) recognized the new Covid strain, first referred to as lineage B.1.1.529 and now named omicron, as a variant of concern. WHO said it will take weeks to understand how the variant may affect diagnostics, therapeutics and vaccines. News of the South African variant sent shockwaves throughout financial markets in thin post Thanksgiving Day trade. Oil fell over 10% on the news with fear of economy’s shutting down again. omicron Omicron is the 15th letter of … Continue reading “WHO Names New COVID Variant of Concern ‘Omicron’”

ECB Stresses Current Inflation Hump Shaped Not Stagflation

ECB accounts of its October monetary policy meeting addressed a lot of key questions. The big one, is inflation transitory and are we headed for stagflation? The Bank recalled that stagflation experiences in the 1970s occurred in a different environment, in which indexation allowed wages to react to energy prices. The shortage of critical supplies including energy and other commodities has “seen market-based measures of inflation compensation in the euro area had surged to their highest levels in over seven years, … Continue reading “ECB Stresses Current Inflation Hump Shaped Not Stagflation”

Dallas Fed October Trimmed Mean PCE Falls For The Month But Still Higher on Year

The Dallas Fed Trimmed Mean PCE for October showed the annualized rate of inflation at 4.2%, a slowdown from the extreme 4.9% in September but still elevated. The Federal Reserve favors the trimmed mean as it excludes the most extreme price changes in consumer goods and services each month. Looking out longer term , the six-month view annualized rate rose to 3.3% from 3.0%. The 12 month estimate rose to 2.6% from 2.3%. The numbers are lower than the traditional … Continue reading “Dallas Fed October Trimmed Mean PCE Falls For The Month But Still Higher on Year”

Coordinated Strategic Petroleum Reserve Release By China, India, Japan, South Korea and the UK To Lower prices

The U.S. Department of Energy announced it will release 50 million barrels of oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve to lower oil prices. This release will be taken in parallel with other major energy consuming nations including China, India, Japan, Republic of Korea and the United Kingdom. This has been well telegraphed with oil down roughly 10% from recent highs. The move is seen by many as the epitome of ignorance of energy markets and the self serving nature of … Continue reading “Coordinated Strategic Petroleum Reserve Release By China, India, Japan, South Korea and the UK To Lower prices”

Fed’s Waller Wants a Faster Taper With Concern If Inflation Embedded Into Wage Demands

The Federal Reserve is continuing to voice it’s concern about inflation, wages and disparities between those who benefited from asset inflation and those who have been hurt by it. Fed Governor Christopher Waller said on Friday the rapid improving job market market and deteriorating inflation data have pushed him towards favoring a faster pace of tapering and more rapid removal of accommodation. “The rapid improvement in the labor market and the deteriorating inflation data have pushed me towards favoring a … Continue reading “Fed’s Waller Wants a Faster Taper With Concern If Inflation Embedded Into Wage Demands”

Seeing Broader Based Increases in Inflation – NY Fed Williams

The New York Fed president John Williams, hwo is a voting member continued with his hawkish tilt of late. His comments roiled financial markets somewhat with selling in the more speculative names such as those in Russell 2000 index. He also focused on familiar themes saying supply constraints are a major factor on the labor market and supply chain bottlenecks. “We definitely have seen a pickup in underlying inflation in the U.S. that we’ll be studying carefully,” Williams said during a virtual … Continue reading “Seeing Broader Based Increases in Inflation – NY Fed Williams”

US Jobless Claims Hit New Pandemic Low

Americans filing for unemployment benefits fell to a new pandemic low as the labor market continues to slowly recover from the coronavirus economic burdens. Initial claims by 1K to 268K in the week ended November 13th. Demand for workers remains strong. However claims remain above the 2019 weekly average of 218K.  US initial jobless claims and continuing claims for current week Initial jobless claims 12 Nov 268K vs 260K estimate. Prior week 267k revised to 269 This is the lowest … Continue reading “US Jobless Claims Hit New Pandemic Low”

President Biden ‘Blame Game’ Targets US Oil Companies for Illegal Conduct

President Biden in his latest shift of finding blame and solutions for high oil prices on Wednesday sent a letter to the FTC to consider whether “illegal conduct” by large oil and gas companies is pushing up gasoline prices for American consumers. The F.T.C., does have the power to break up large industry players but in reality is unlikely to affect gasoline prices materially any time soon. The move was met with derision by almost anyone around the industry, from … Continue reading “President Biden ‘Blame Game’ Targets US Oil Companies for Illegal Conduct”

Hawkish Bullard Cays Core PCE Is Quite High

Fed Governor speaking on BBGTV said US Core PCE Is “Quite High” and added that the Fed should take towards a more hawkish policy in the next couple of meetings. He said 3%-4% Rate `Is Not My Base Case’ Feds Bullard Speech Highlights Core PCE is quite high Fed should take towards a more hawkish policy in the next couple of meetings Markets are past the taper tantrum. The Fed could move further faster Fed taper increased to $30 billion … Continue reading “Hawkish Bullard Cays Core PCE Is Quite High”

India Buys Russian S-400 Surface to Air Missiles Ignoring US

India has begun receiving Russian S-400 Triumf missile systems ignoring the threat of what many see as an impotent US. with sanction threats. India sees them as a boost to New Delhi’s air defense capabilities with the threats along the borders with China and Pakistan. Significantly the delivery is happening ahead of Russian President Vladimir Putin’s visit to India for an annual summit with India’s Prime Minister Narendra Modi next month. Source: NikkeiAsia From The TradersCommunity News Desk