Around The Barrel – End of Year Crude Oil Draws 6065kbbl with Production Unchanged at 11000kbpd

EIA reported a draw in crude and gasoline as we head into year end. Crude oil drew -6065kbbl with a small build of +27kbbl at Cushing. Products showed a draw with gasoline -1192kbbl and a build with distillate +3095kbbl. US production unchanged at 11000 kbpd, still off record high of 13.10 mbpd. Oil Futures reached the highest prices since March 2020.

Last week EIA reported a draw in crude and products as we head into year end. Crude oil drew 562kbbl with draws of 26kbbl at Cushing. Products had draws with gasoline -1125kbbl and distillate -2325kbbl. US production unchanged at 11000 kbpd, still off record high of 13.10 mbpd. Oil Futures reached the highest prices since March 2020.

Cushing Storage Tanks

Crude Oil Tanks at Cushing OK, Basis For the WTI Futures Contract.

DOE Weekly Petroleum Status Report: 12/23/20

  • via
  • Release Time: Wednesday Dec 30 2020 10:30 ET
EIAExpectedPrior EIAAPI





Note in bbls *exp = Reuters poll est except Cushing

  • Refinery Utilization  +1.4% to 79.4% Exp +0.4%
  • Production UNCH at 11.000 mbpd (13.10 ATH)

Summary of Weekly Petkoleum Data for the Week (Live Link)

US Crude Oil Quick Look

Via @Ole_S-Hansen


Weather Watch

Gulf of Mexico

API Crude Inventories

United States API Crude Oil Stock Change

WTI Crude Oil Futures Weekly Chart Outlook via @KnovaWave

WTI continued higher after broke the topside of the channel it had been in since September, In any break, the key is crowd behavior to help tell the story. We watch ABC corrections and from here we got the energy from the break. Support  is the Tenkan, old channel & prev high confluence. Watch Kijun & 50 dma.. Resistance MM and previous lows.

WTI D 12 25 2020

WTI has continued higher after it rebalanced chikou indicative of extreme crowd behavior in a series of fractals at last Dec wave 1 turn after we had completed 5 waves as marked, from here we watched 3 & 5 waves develop. Price popped after the spit of the 50wma (green) which is now key for support as Tenkan touched Kijun in a kiss of life. 

These are special times, recall “After we regained the pattern 261.8% from the extreme (-$40) move. The climax of the larger acceleration lower after broke the weekly uptrend, a fractal of the sharp and all the way to all time lows to negative pricing we have seen mirror replications.” Support is previous channels, tenkan and Kijun. Above we have Murrey Math time and price 

WTI W 12 25 2020

Crude Oil Futures Committment of Traders

Latest ICE and CFTC Open Interest Data:

CTFC and ICE open interest: via Ole S Hansen @Ole_S_Hansen

COT on commodities in wk to Oct 13 saw funds lift bullish bets to a 30-mth high at 2.1m lots. Top five buys were #Brent #natgas #copper #corn & #sugar while #WTI #gold #soybeans and #cocoa were sold. The ag sector has gone from net short to 50% of total long since mid-July #OOTT


COT on #oil and #natgas in wk to Oct 13 saw mixed reaction to #HurricaneDelta . Long liquidation in #WTI (-9k) being more than offset by a 37.5k lots jump in the #Brent long on short covering. A 13% rally in gas lifted the long to 342k lots, highest since May 2017



Understanding DCOT Reports

Read Understanding Commitments of Traders Reports – COT, TFF and DCOT  to help understand the disaggregated reports (DCOT) and how they break down the reportable open interest positions into four classifications: 1. Producer/Merchant/Processor/User 2. Swap Dealers 3. Managed Money 4. Other Reportables 

Crude Oil Option Volatilty Watch via

NYMEX LO = Crude Oil Options First 3 Months (Live Link)


NYMEX LO & ICE North Sea Brent BRN Crude Oil Options (Live Link)




NYMEX LO NYMEX OB Options (Live Link)


The Fundamental Angle with Brynne Kelly ‏@BrynneKKelly




DigStic Data @DigStic

Dec 11 2019 – Two Top Tens this week. One a draw in Cushing, the other a build in Total Products.




RonH Data ‏@Ronh999


Cushing Oil Stocks


 NB: Check out Ron’s great work at Ron H Public Tableau Link

US Oil Import Export





US Gasoline Consumers

Input to Refineries


US consumers bought 336.90 million gallons of gasoline per day last week. That is -53.80 mil YoY


US consumers spent $749.30 million dollars per day for gasoline last week. That is -$240.00 mil YoY.


US avg retail price for gasoline was $2.224 last week. That is -30.80 cents YoY



US Crude Oil Production

 US Oil Field Production  UNCH kbpd at 11.00 mbpd 0ff ATH 13.10mpd  


Forecast Oil Production Matrix – HFI Research

Implied US oil production from this EIA report is 11 mb/d and headed for 10 mb/d. via @HFI_Research


   ** Note with the unreliability of the API numbers highlighted by its constant debacles we offer you the bare bones of that report.

OILytics @OilyticsData

EIA Crude:

EIA Products:

US Crude Oil Prices and Recessions


Via John Kemp @JKempEnergy 

Key EIA and CME Dates For WTI Crude Oil

CME Crude Oil Futures Calendar

CME Crude Oil Options Calendar


From TradersCommunity Research

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *