EIA reported a draw in crude oil of -754kbbl and -1721bbl at Cushing, gasoline +2180kbbl and distillate draw of -1441kbbl. US production rose at 11000 kbpd as storm production returned, still off record high of 13.10 mbpd. Oil Futures have reached the highest prices since March 2020.
EIA reported a draw in crude oil of -754kbbl and -1721bbl at Cushing, gasoline +2180kbbl and distillate draw of -1441kbbl. US production rose at 11000 kbpd as storm production returned, still off record high of 13.10 mbpd. Oil Futures have reached the highest prices since March 2020.
Crude Oil Tanks at Cushing OK, Basis For the WTI Futures Contract.
DOE Weekly Petroleum Status Report: 11/18/20
- via TradersCommunity.com
- Release Time: Thursday Wednesday 25 2020 – 10:30 ET
| EIA | Expected | Prior EIA | API | |
| Crude | -754k | +3000k | +4277k | +3800k |
| Cushing | -1721k | -1578k | -518k | -1400k |
| Gasoline | +2180k | +500k | -2309k | +1300k |
| Distillate | -1441k | -1400k | -1586k | -1800k |
Note in bbls *exp = Reuters poll est except Cushing
- Refinery Utilization +1.3% to 74.3% Exp +0.4%
- Production+100kbpd 11.000 mbpd (13.10 ATH)
Summary of Weekly Petkoleum Data for the Week (Live Link)
Weather Watch
Gulf of Mexico
API Crude Inventories
WTI Crude Oil Futures Weekly Chart Outlook via @KnovaWave
In any break key is crowd behavior to help tell the story. We watch ABC corrections from here. he March breakdown, Support Tenkan and Kijun. In any break key is crowd behavior to help tell the story. We watch ABC corrections from here.
WTI after it’s huge run continues to rebalance chikou indicative of extreme crowd behavior in a series of fractals. We have completed 5 waves as marked, from here we watch 3 develop to confirm.
These are special times, recall “After we regained the pattern 261.8% from the extreme (-$40) move. The climax of the larger acceleration lower after broke the weekly uptrend, a fractal of the sharp and all the way to all time lows to negative pricing we have seen mirror replications.” Support is previous channels, tenkan and Kijun. Above we have 50wma and Murrey Math time and price Above we have 50wma and Murrey Math time and price.
Crude Oil Futures Committment of Traders
Latest ICE and CFTC Open Interest Data:
CTFC and ICE open interest: via Ole S Hansen @Ole_S_Hansen
COT on commodities in wk to Oct 13 saw funds lift bullish bets to a 30-mth high at 2.1m lots. Top five buys were #Brent #natgas #copper #corn & #sugar while #WTI #gold #soybeans and #cocoa were sold. The ag sector has gone from net short to 50% of total long since mid-July #OOTT
COT on #oil and #natgas in wk to Oct 13 saw mixed reaction to #HurricaneDelta . Long liquidation in #WTI (-9k) being more than offset by a 37.5k lots jump in the #Brent long on short covering. A 13% rally in gas lifted the long to 342k lots, highest since May 2017
Understanding DCOT Reports
Read Understanding Commitments of Traders Reports – COT, TFF and DCOT to help understand the disaggregated reports (DCOT) and how they break down the reportable open interest positions into four classifications: 1. Producer/Merchant/Processor/User 2. Swap Dealers 3. Managed Money 4. Other Reportables
Crude Oil Option Volatilty Watch via commodityvol.com
NYMEX LO = Crude Oil Options First 3 Months (Live Link)
NYMEX LO & ICE North Sea Brent BRN Crude Oil Options (Live Link)
NYMEX LO NYMEX OH NYMEX OB Options (Live Link)
NYMEX LO NYMEX OB Options (Live Link)
The Fundamental Angle with Brynne Kelly @BrynneKKelly
DigStic Data @DigStic
Dec 11 2019 – Two Top Tens this week. One a draw in Cushing, the other a build in Total Products.
RonH Data @Ronh999
Cushing Oil Stocks
NB: Check out Ron’s great work at Ron H Public Tableau Link
US Oil Import Export
Imports
Exports
US Gasoline Consumers
Input to Refineries
US consumers bought 346.8 million gallons of gasoline per day last week. That is -39.30 mil YoY
US consumers spent $732.20 million dollars per day for gasoline last week. That is -$268.50 mil YoY.
US avg retail price for gasoline was $2.096 last week. That is -51.90 cents YoY
US Crude Oil Production
US Oil Field Production +400kbpd at 10.90 mbpd 0ff ATH 13.10mpd
Forecast Oil Production Matrix – HFI Research
Implied US oil production from this EIA report is 11 mb/d and headed for 10 mb/d. via @HFI_Research
** Note with the unreliability of the API numbers highlighted by its constant debacles we offer you the bare bones of that report.
OILytics @OilyticsData
EIA Crude:
EIA Products:
US Crude Oil Prices and Recessions
Via John Kemp @JKempEnergy
Key EIA and CME Dates For WTI Crude Oil
CME Crude Oil Futures Calendar
CME Crude Oil Options Calendar
REGULAR & HOLIDAY RELEASE SCHEDULE
From TradersCommunity Research