5-Year Treasury Auction Attracted International Demand as Bonds Sold off

Treasuries sat near their lows as the market responded to the results of today’s $43 bln 5-yr note auction ahead of tomorrow’s $35 bln 7-yr note offering. The high yield was 3.973% over the WI level 3.96%. Today’s $43 bln bid-to-cover ratio (2.46x) and indirect takedown (64.51%) were above average.  The desk gave a B rating on the auction. Selling pressure in the bond market flowed over to selling in equities in an illiquid market. The 10-yr note yield, which hit 3.80% overnight, settled at 3.89%. The 2-yr note yield, which hit 4.33% earlier, settled at 4.35%. 

Today’s $43 bln bid-to-cover ratio (2.46x) and indirect takedown (64.51%) were above average.  The desk gave an B rating on the auction.

  • The domestic demand was above its six-month average indicative of stronger domestic demand
  • International demand (indirect) was comfortably above the six-month average

Auction Highlights

  • Duration: 5 Years
  • Amount:  $43 billion
  • High yield 3.973%
  • WI yield 3.96%
  • Tail -1.3 vs. six-month average of 1.2 basis points
  • Bid to cover 2.46X vs 6-month average 2.35X
  • Directs 18.56% vs 18.2% 6-month average
  • Indirects 64.51% vs 62.4% 6-month average

Auction grade: B

Yields after the auction

  • 2-yr: +3 bps to 4.38%
  • 3-yr: +3 bps to 4.20%
  • 5-yr: unch at 3.98%
  • 10-yr: -2 bps to 3.87%
  • 30-yr: -2 bps to 3.95%

Prior auction results:

  • High yield: 3.974%
  • Bid-to-cover: 2.39
  • Indirect bid: 66.2%
  • Direct bid: 18.7%

Average results of previous 12 auctions:

  • High yield: 2.653%
  • Bid-to-cover: 2.41
  • Indirect bid: 63.2%
  • Direct bid: 17.8%

Live From the Pit

From The TradersCommunity US News Desk