10-year U.S. Treasury Bond Auction Lackluster Demand Produces Biggest Tail Since April

The US Treasury 10-Year Bond Sale performed worse than expected ahead of tomorrow’s CPI number release. The auction garnered a D- rating across the fixed Interest desk with weak demand from the international market and a tail 2.7 bps the biggest since April. The auction followed an earlier $41 billion 3-yr note auction, which also met weak demand. Today’s backtracking lifted the 30-yr yield to a fresh high for the year, closing +6 bps at 3.51%.

The bid to cover 2.37X vs. six-month average of 2.45X, indirect takedown 62.3 percent vs. the six-month average of 67.0%. The desk gave a D- rating on the auction.

Auction Highlights

  • Duration: 10 Years
  • Amount:  $32 billion
  • High yield:  3.330%
  • When-Issued level at the time of the auction 3.303%
  • Tail 2.7 basis points vs. six month averageof 1.2 bps
  • bid to cover 2.37X vs. six-month average of 2.45X
  • Dealers 19.8%vs. the six-month average of 15.3%
  • Directs 17.9% vs. the six-month average of 17.7%
  • Indirects 62.3 percent vs. the six-month average of 67.0%

Auction grade: D

Yields after the auction

  • 2-yr: -1 bp to 3.56%
  • 3-yr: -2 bps to 3.60%
  • 5-yr: +1 bp to 3.46%
  • 10-yr: +4 bps to 3.36%
  • 30-yr: +6 bps to 3.51%

Average results of previous 12 auctions: High yield: 3.330%

  • High yield: 3.330% (2.153%).
  • Bid-to-cover: 2.37 (2.48).
  • Indirect bid: 62.3% (68.9%).
  • Direct bid: 17.9% (17.1%).

Prior auction results:

  • High yield: 2.755%
  • Bid-to-cover: 2.53
  • Indirect bid: 74.5%
  • Direct bid: 15.6%
  • Directs a measure of domestic demand
  • Indirects a measure of international demand
  • Dealers take the balance

Live From the Pit

From The TradersCommunity US News Desk